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Japan 5-Year Climate Transition JGB Auction climbed to 1.1% in June 2025, released July 2025, up 0.21% from May's 0.89% reading.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.50 | FOREX | Bullish JPY | → View |
| EUR/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Bullish JPY | → View |
| Nikkei 225 | ▲ Direct | +0.45 | INDEX | Bullish JP | → View |
| GBP/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.40 | FOREX | Bullish JPY | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
5-Year Climate Transition JGB Auction (Japan) was reported at 1.1% in July 2025. The reading rose from the previous value of 0.89%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2025.
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases.
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/JPY (Bullish JPY). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/JPY, negatively correlated (Bullish JPY).
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Housing Starts YoY (May 28) and Unemployment Rate (May 28).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2025.
The 5-Year Climate Transition JGB Auction is a financial indicator that measures the demand and interest for Japanese government bonds (JGBs) with a maturity of 5 years, specifically those that are focused on climate transition initiatives. This auction provides insight into the market's confidence in Japan's efforts to transition to a more sustainable and environmentally-friendly economy. It is closely monitored by investors and analysts as it reflects the country's progress towards meeting its climate goals and the potential impact on the overall economy.
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Jul 2025): actual 1.098 %. Prior reading (Jan 2025): 0.888 %. Before that (Jul 2024): 0.595 %.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print. Current dynamics are the primary headwind in the projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/JPY (Bullish JPY, r=-0.50) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Tuesday, May 26, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05:00 | Leading Index MoM | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.70 | Low | ||
| 05:00 | Coincident Indicator MoM | -1.8 | 0.3 | 0.20 | Low | ||
| Thursday, May 28, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 05:00 | Housing Starts YoY | -29.3 | 15.5 | 15.50 | Medium | ||
| 05:00 | Construction Orders YoY | -14.4 | 3.6 | 3.60 | Low | ||
| 23:30 | Jobs/applications ratio | 1.18 | 1.18 | 1.18 | Low | ||
| 23:30 | Core CPI YoY | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.50 | Low | ||
| 23:30 | Unemployment Rate | 2.7 | 2.7 | 2.70 | Medium | ||
| 23:30 | CPI YoY | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.60 | Low | ||
| 23:50 | Industrial Production YoY | 2.4 | 1.5 | 1.50 | Low | ||
| 23:50 | Industrial Production MoM | -0.4 | -1 | -1.00 | Medium | ||
| 23:50 | Retail Sales YoY | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.30 | Medium | ||
| 23:50 | Retail Sales MoM | 1.3 | -0.5 | -0.50 | Low | ||
| Friday, May 29, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 05:00 | Consumer Confidence | 32.2 | 32 | 32.00 | High | ||