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Japan Foreign Exchange Reserves fell to 1,216.9B in December 2016, released January 2017, down 2.4B from November's 1,219.3B reading. The reading missed the 1,500B consensus by 283.1B. Foreign Exchange Reserves has now declined for 4 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Foreign Exchange Reserves averaged 1,231.05B, vs 1,260.33B in the prior 3-month window. Foreign Exchange Reserves is now the lowest in 36 months.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikkei 225 | ▲ Direct | +0.61 | INDEX | Bullish Nikkei 225 | → View |
| Hang Seng | ▲ Direct | +0.55 | INDEX | Bullish Hang Seng | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.37 | COMMODITIES | Bearish XAU | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | CRYPTO | Bearish BTC | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
Foreign Exchange Reserves (Japan) was reported at 1,305.90 billion in June 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 1,383.00 billion. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 1,354.83 billion, ranging from 1,304.40 billion to 1,410.70 billion across 9 releases.
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 1,366.53 billion, down from the prior three at 1,374.67 billion. Volatility over the past year (σ 36.23 billion) is higher than the prior year (σ 24.78 billion). In June readings over the past 3 years, Foreign Exchange Reserves has averaged 1,278.53 billion.
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with Nikkei 225 (Bullish Nikkei 225). A secondary relationship exists with Hang Seng, positively correlated (Bullish Hang Seng).
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Monetary Policy Statement (Jun 16) and BoJ Interest Rate Decision (Jun 16).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
Foreign Exchange Reserves refer to the amount of foreign currency held by a country's central bank. These reserves are used to maintain stability in the country's currency and to fulfill international payment obligations. They serve as a measure of a country's economic strength and ability to withstand external shocks. Foreign Exchange Reserves are an important financial indicator for investors and policymakers, providing insight into a country's monetary policy and its ability to manage its currency.
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 1,305.9 M. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 1,383 M. Before that (Mar 2026): 1,374.7 M.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with Nikkei 225 (Bullish Nikkei 225, r=0.61) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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| Monday, June 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04:30 | Tertiary Industry Index MoM | 1.3 | -0.6 | 0.5 | 0.93 | Low | |
| Tuesday, June 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 03:00 | BoJ Interest Rate Decision | 0.75 | 1 | 1.00 | High | ||
| 23:00 | Reuters Tankan Index | 8 | 9 | 12.00 | Low | ||
| 23:50 | Machinery Orders MoM | -9.4 | 0.9 | 2.95 | Medium | ||
| 23:50 | Imports YoY | 9.7 | 12.8 | 12.15 | Low | ||
| 23:50 | Exports YoY | 14.8 | 16.2 | 17.50 | Medium | ||
| 23:50 | Balance of Trade | 301.9 | -564.6 | -294.35 | High | ||
| 23:50 | Machinery Orders YoY | 5.9 | 9.3 | 10.90 | Medium | ||
| 23:50 | Adjusted Trade Balance | 0.24 | -0.21 | -0.21 | Medium | ||
| Wednesday, June 17, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 23:00 | Reuters Tankan Index | 8 | 9 | 12.00 | Low | ||