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Japan Machinery Orders MoM climbed to 13.6 in February 2026, released April 2026, up 19.1 from January's -5.5 reading. The print exceeded the -1.1 consensus by 14.7. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 1.58. Over the past 3 months, Machinery Orders MoM averaged 0.87, vs 5.6 in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 94th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
across last 12 releases
Mar 2026
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hang Seng | ▲ Direct | +0.44 | INDEX | Bullish Hang Seng | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.42 | CRYPTO | Bullish BTC | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Bullish S&P 500 | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
The April 2026 reading rose from the previous value of -5.5. Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmanomics model has produced a median absolute forecast error of ±3.75. Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with Hang Seng (Bullish Hang Seng) and positively correlated with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC).
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Thursday, May 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23:50 | Producer Price Index YoY | 4.9 | 2.9 | 3 | 3.95 | Low | |
| 23:50 | Producer Price Index MoM | 2.3 | 1 | 0.7 | 1.50 | Low | |
| Friday, May 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 06:00 | Machine Tool Orders YoY | 45.1 | 28.1 | 28.1 | 36.60 | Low | |