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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
JapanJapan 5-Year JGB Auction climbed to 2.24% in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
Japan 5-Year JGB Auction climbed to 2.24% in August 2026, released September 2026, up 0.08% from July's 2.16% reading.
Latest Release
2.239000
Actual
—
Consensus
2.163000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.73 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.60 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| GBP/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.47 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| Hang Seng | ▲ Direct | +0.46 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.43 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
5-Year JGB Auction (Japan) was reported at 2.24% in September 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 2.16%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 1.72%, ranging from 1.23% to 2.24% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 2.1%, up from the prior three at 1.77%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.34%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.17%). In September readings over the past 3 years, 5-Year JGB Auction has averaged 1.29%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/JPY, positively correlated (Bullish EUR).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for October 14, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Exports YoY (Sep 15) and Balance of Trade (Sep 15).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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5-Year JGB Auction - JP
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About 5-Year JGB Auction — Japan
DEFINITION
The 5-Year JGB Auction is a financial indicator that measures the demand for 5-year Japanese Government Bonds (JGBs) through a competitive bidding process. This auction provides insight into the current sentiment and confidence of investors in the Japanese economy, as well as the government's ability to raise funds through bond issuance. It is closely monitored by financial institutions and analysts as a key indicator of the overall health of the Japanese bond market.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 2.239 %. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 2.163 %. Before that (Jun 2026): 1.905 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC, r=0.73) — a useful reference for crypto-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - JP Events
| Monday, September 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04:30 | JP | Capacity Utilization | 0.5 | 4.1 | -1.3 | -0.40 | Low |
| 04:30 | JP | Industrial Production MoM | -0.2 | 1.9 | 0.1 | -0.05 | Low |
| 04:30 | JP | Industrial Production YoY | 3.9 | 4.9 | 4.1 | 4.00 | Low |
| Tuesday, September 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 04:30 | JP | Tertiary Industry Index MoM | -0.2 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Low | |
| 23:50 | JP | Exports YoY | 23.2 | 18.2 | 18.60 | Medium | |
| 23:50 | JP | Balance of Trade | -634.5 | -1052.6 | -959.65 | High | |
| 23:50 | JP | Imports YoY | 27.8 | 26.3 | 26.15 | Low | |
| 23:50 | JP | Machinery Orders MoM | 9.7 | -2.8 | 1.10 | Medium | |
| 23:50 | JP | Machinery Orders YoY | 16.9 | 15.3 | 18.45 | Medium | |
| 23:50 | JP | Adjusted Trade Balance | -0.69 | -0.98 | -0.92 | Medium | |