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Japan Jobs/applications ratio held to 1.18% in May 2026. The reading matched the 1.18% consensus.
across last 12 releases
May 2026
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hang Seng | ▲ Direct | +0.55 | INDEX | Bullish Hang Seng | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.54 | INDEX | Bullish S&P 500 | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.50 | CRYPTO | Bearish BTC | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.43 | COMMODITIES | Bullish XAU | → View |
| Nikkei 225 | ▼ Inverse | −0.25 | INDEX | Bearish Nikkei 225 | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
Jobs/applications ratio (Japan) was reported at 1.18% in May 2026. This matched the market consensus of 1.18% exactly. The reading was unchanged from the previous release. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 1.2%, ranging from 1.18% to 1.24% across 11 releases.
The trailing three releases averaged 1.18%, unchanged from the prior three. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.02%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.01%). In May readings over the past 3 years, Jobs/applications ratio has averaged 1.24%.
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with Hang Seng (Bullish Hang Seng). A secondary relationship exists with S&P 500, positively correlated (Bullish S&P 500). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.01%.
The next release is scheduled for June 29, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Monetary Policy Statement (Jun 16) and BoJ Interest Rate Decision (Jun 16).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
The jobs/applications ratio is a financial indicator that measures the number of job openings available compared to the number of applications received. This ratio is used to assess the competitiveness of the job market and can provide insights into the overall health of the economy. A high ratio indicates a strong job market with a high demand for workers, while a low ratio may suggest a more competitive job market with a larger pool of applicants for each job opening. This indicator is often used by economists, policymakers, and businesses to make informed decisions about hiring, investment, and economic growth.
Labor-market data shapes consumer-spending forecasts and is closely tracked by central banks assessing the output gap and wage-inflation pass-through. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 1.18 %, consensus 1.18 %. Prior reading (Mar 2026): 1.18 %. Before that (Feb 2026): 1.19 %.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary neutral force in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with Hang Seng (Bullish Hang Seng, r=0.55) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Monday, June 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04:30 | Tertiary Industry Index MoM | 1.3 | -0.6 | 0.5 | 0.93 | Low | |
| Tuesday, June 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 03:00 | BoJ Interest Rate Decision | 0.75 | 1 | 1.00 | High | ||
| 23:00 | Reuters Tankan Index | 8 | 9 | 12.00 | Low | ||
| 23:50 | Machinery Orders MoM | -9.4 | 0.9 | 2.95 | Medium | ||
| 23:50 | Imports YoY | 9.7 | 12.8 | 12.15 | Low | ||
| 23:50 | Exports YoY | 14.8 | 16.2 | 17.50 | Medium | ||
| 23:50 | Balance of Trade | 301.9 | -564.6 | -294.35 | High | ||
| 23:50 | Machinery Orders YoY | 5.9 | 9.3 | 10.90 | Medium | ||
| 23:50 | Adjusted Trade Balance | 0.24 | -0.21 | -0.21 | Medium | ||
| Wednesday, June 17, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 23:00 | Reuters Tankan Index | 8 | 9 | 12.00 | Low | ||