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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
JapanJapan Foreign Bond Investment climbed to -347.6B in September 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Japan Foreign Bond Investment climbed to -347.6B in September 2026, released October 2026, up 334.7B from August's -682.3B reading.
Latest Release
-347.600000
Actual
—
Consensus
-682.300000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Foreign Bond Investment (Japan) was reported at -347.60 billion in October 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of -682.30 billion. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -44.66 billion, ranging from -1,978.40 billion to 1,640.70 billion across 39 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 16.93 billion, up from the prior three at -896.83 billion. Volatility over the past year (σ 804.34 billion) is lower than the prior year (σ 1,205.92 billion). In October readings over the past 3 years, Foreign Bond Investment has averaged -188.12 billion.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for October 14, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Machinery Orders MoM (Oct 14) and Machinery Orders YoY (Oct 14).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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Foreign Bond Investment - JP
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About Foreign Bond Investment — Japan
DEFINITION
Foreign bond investment is a financial indicator that measures the amount of money invested by foreign entities in a country's bond market. This indicator is used to assess the level of confidence and interest of international investors in a country's economy and its government's ability to repay its debts. It also provides insight into the flow of capital between countries and can impact a country's currency exchange rates. Foreign bond investment is an important metric for policymakers and investors in understanding the global market trends and making informed decisions.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Oct 2026): actual -347.6 B. Prior reading (Sep 2026): -684.5 B. Before that (Sep 2026): 1,082.9 B.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - JP Events
| Wednesday, October 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23:50 | JP | Machinery Orders MoM | -3.7 | 3 | 3.00 | Medium | |
| 23:50 | JP | Machinery Orders YoY | 11.2 | 15.7 | 15.70 | Medium | |
| Thursday, October 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 04:30 | JP | Capacity Utilization | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.20 | Low | |
| 04:30 | JP | Industrial Production MoM | 6.4 | -0.2 | 0.3 | 3.35 | Low |
| 04:30 | JP | Industrial Production YoY | 3.9 | 3.7 | 3.70 | Low | |