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Japan Tankan Small Non-Manufacturing Outlook held to -2 in November 2016, released December 2016. The reading missed the -1 consensus by 1.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.50 | FOREX | Bullish JPY | → View |
| EUR/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Bullish JPY | → View |
| Nikkei 225 | ▲ Direct | +0.45 | INDEX | Bullish JP | → View |
| GBP/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.40 | FOREX | Bullish JPY | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
The December 2016 reading was unchanged from the previous value of -2. Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/JPY (Bullish JPY) and negatively correlated with EUR/JPY (Bullish JPY).
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| Thursday, May 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23:50 | Producer Price Index YoY | 4.9 | 2.9 | 3 | 3.95 | Low | |
| 23:50 | Producer Price Index MoM | 2.3 | 1 | 0.7 | 1.50 | Low | |
| Friday, May 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 06:00 | Machine Tool Orders YoY | 45.1 | 28.1 | 28.1 | 36.60 | Low | |