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Japan 40-Year JGB Auction fell to 3.6% in February 2026, released March 2026, down 0.12% from January's 3.72% reading.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AUD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.51 | FOREX | Bullish AUD | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.39 | FOREX | Bearish USD | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.36 | CRYPTO | Bullish BTC | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.29 | COMMODITIES | Bullish XAU | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
The March 2026 reading fell from the previous value of 3.72. Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with AUD/JPY (Bullish AUD) and negatively correlated with USD/JPY (Bearish USD).
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Tuesday, May 19, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04:30 | Tertiary Industry Index MoM | -0.2 | -0.7 | -0.4 | -0.30 | Low | |
| 04:30 | Capacity Utilization | -1.2 | -0.1 | 0.3 | -0.45 | Low | |
| 04:30 | Industrial Production MoM | -0.4 | -2 | -0.5 | -0.45 | Low | |
| 04:30 | Industrial Production YoY | 2.4 | 0.4 | 2.3 | 2.35 | Low | |
| Wednesday, May 20, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | Reuters Tankan Index | 8 | 7 | 8 | 9.33 | Low | |
| 23:50 | Imports YoY | 10.9 | 8.3 | 8.30 | Low | ||
| 23:50 | Exports YoY | 11.7 | 9.3 | 9.30 | Medium | ||
| 23:50 | Balance of Trade | 667 | -29.7 | -29.70 | High | ||
| 23:50 | Machinery Orders MoM | 13.6 | -8.1 | -2.80 | Medium | ||
| 23:50 | Machinery Orders YoY | 24.7 | 4.5 | 11.90 | Medium | ||
| 23:50 | Adjusted Trade Balance | 0.09 | -0.23 | -0.23 | Medium | ||
| Thursday, May 21, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | Reuters Tankan Index | 7 | 8 | 9.33 | Low | ||
| 00:30 | S&P Global Composite PMI | 52.2 | 51.8 | 51.80 | Low | ||
| 00:30 | S&P Global Services PMI | 51 | 50.7 | 50.70 | Medium | ||
| 00:30 | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 55.1 | 54.5 | 55.25 | Medium | ||
| 23:30 | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1.55 | Medium | ||
| 23:30 | Inflation Rate Ex-Food and Energy YoY | 2.4 | 2.4 | 2.30 | Low | ||
| 23:30 | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Low | ||
| 23:30 | Inflation Rate YoY | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.60 | High | ||