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Japan Tankan Non-Manufacturers Outlook climbed to 15 in November 2014, released December 2014, up 1 from October's 14 reading. The print exceeded the 14 consensus by 1.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.50 | FOREX | Bullish JPY | → View |
| EUR/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Bullish JPY | → View |
| Nikkei 225 | ▲ Direct | +0.45 | INDEX | Bullish JP | → View |
| GBP/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.40 | FOREX | Bullish JPY | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
Tankan Non-Manufacturers Outlook (Japan) was reported at 15.00 in December 2014. This beat the market consensus of 14.00 by 1.00. The reading rose from the previous value of 14.00.
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/JPY (Bullish JPY). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/JPY, negatively correlated (Bullish JPY).
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Core Inflation Rate YoY (Jun 18) and Inflation Rate YoY (Jun 18).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update December 2014.
The Tankan Non-Manufacturers Outlook is a key financial indicator that measures the sentiment and expectations of non-manufacturing businesses in Japan. It provides valuable insights into the overall health of the country's service sector and can help investors and policymakers make informed decisions. This indicator is based on a survey of thousands of businesses and is considered a reliable gauge of future economic growth and consumer spending.
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Oct 2014): actual 15, consensus 14.
This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/JPY (Bullish JPY, r=-0.50) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Tuesday, June 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03:00 | BoJ Interest Rate Decision | 1 | 0.75 | 1 | 1.00 | High | |
| 23:00 | Reuters Tankan Index | 13 | 8 | 9 | 11.50 | Low | |
| 23:50 | Machinery Orders MoM | 8.7 | -9.4 | 0.9 | 3.87 | Medium | |
| 23:50 | Imports YoY | 12.5 | 9.8 | 12.8 | 12.65 | Low | |
| 23:50 | Exports YoY | 17 | 14.8 | 16.2 | 16.60 | Medium | |
| 23:50 | Balance of Trade | -378.7 | 299.3 | -564.6 | -471.65 | High | |
| 23:50 | Machinery Orders YoY | 15.6 | 5.9 | 9.3 | 11.68 | Medium | |
| 23:50 | Adjusted Trade Balance | -0.09 | 0.2 | -0.21 | -0.15 | Medium | |
| Wednesday, June 17, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 23:00 | Reuters Tankan Index | 8 | 9 | 11.50 | Low | ||
| Thursday, June 18, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 23:30 | Inflation Rate Ex-Food and Energy YoY | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.90 | Low | ||
| 23:30 | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.40 | Medium | ||
| 23:30 | Inflation Rate YoY | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.60 | High | ||
| 23:30 | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Low | ||