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Japan Tankan Non-Manufacturers Outlook climbed to 15 in November 2014, released December 2014, up 1 from October's 14 reading. The print exceeded the 14 consensus by 1.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.50 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| EUR/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| Nikkei 225 | ▲ Direct | +0.45 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| GBP/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.40 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
Tankan Non-Manufacturers Outlook (Japan) was reported at 15.00 in December 2014. This beat the market consensus of 14.00 by 1.00. The reading rose from the previous value of 14.00.
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/JPY (Bullish JPY). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/JPY, negatively correlated (Bullish JPY).
Same-country events in the next 14 days include BoJ Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes (Aug 4) and Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes (Aug 4).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update December 2014.
The Tankan Non-Manufacturers Outlook is a key financial indicator that measures the sentiment and expectations of non-manufacturing businesses in Japan. It provides valuable insights into the overall health of the country's service sector and can help investors and policymakers make informed decisions. This indicator is based on a survey of thousands of businesses and is considered a reliable gauge of future economic growth and consumer spending.
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Oct 2014): actual 15, consensus 14.
This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/JPY (Bullish JPY, r=-0.50) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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| Friday, July 31, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03:00 | BoJ Interest Rate Decision | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.00 | High | |
| 05:00 | Construction Orders YoY | 2.3 | -6.7 | -7 | -2.35 | Low | |
| 05:00 | Housing Starts YoY | 18.6 | 33.9 | 12.8 | 15.70 | Medium | |
| Monday, August 3, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 23:50 | Monetary Base YoY | -13.7 | -13 | -13.00 | Low | ||