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Japan 52-Week Bill Auction climbed to 1.14% in April 2026, released May 2026, up 0.03% from March's 1.11% reading.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GBP/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.73 | FOREX | Bearish GBP | → View |
| Nikkei 225 | ▼ Inverse | −0.67 | INDEX | Bearish Nikkei 225 | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.64 | INDEX | Bearish S&P 500 | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.31 | COMMODITIES | Bullish XAU | → View |
| EUR/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.25 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
52-Week Bill Auction (Japan) was reported at 1.14% in May 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 1.11%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through May 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.83%, ranging from 0.57% to 1.14% across 11 releases.
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 1.08%, up from the prior three at 0.86%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.18%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.16%). In May readings over the past 3 years, 52-Week Bill Auction has averaged 0.64%.
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with GBP/JPY (Bearish GBP). A secondary relationship exists with Nikkei 225, negatively correlated (Bearish Nikkei 225).
The next release is scheduled for June 18, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Monetary Policy Statement (Jun 16) and BoJ Interest Rate Decision (Jun 16).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
The 52-Week Bill Auction is a financial indicator that measures the demand for short-term government debt securities. It is a weekly auction where the US Treasury Department sells 52-week Treasury bills to investors, with the interest rate determined by the highest bid. This indicator is closely monitored by investors and analysts as it reflects the current market sentiment and can provide insights into the overall health of the economy. A high demand for these bills indicates confidence in the government's ability to repay its debt, while a low demand may signal concerns about the economy.
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 1.136 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 1.107 %. Before that (Mar 2026): 1.055 %.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with GBP/JPY (Bearish GBP, r=-0.73) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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| Monday, June 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04:30 | Tertiary Industry Index MoM | 1.3 | -0.6 | 0.5 | 0.93 | Low | |
| Tuesday, June 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 03:00 | BoJ Interest Rate Decision | 0.75 | 1 | 1.00 | High | ||
| 23:00 | Reuters Tankan Index | 8 | 9 | 12.00 | Low | ||
| 23:50 | Machinery Orders MoM | -9.4 | 0.9 | 2.95 | Medium | ||
| 23:50 | Imports YoY | 9.7 | 12.8 | 12.15 | Low | ||
| 23:50 | Exports YoY | 14.8 | 16.2 | 17.50 | Medium | ||
| 23:50 | Balance of Trade | 301.9 | -564.6 | -294.35 | High | ||
| 23:50 | Machinery Orders YoY | 5.9 | 9.3 | 10.90 | Medium | ||
| 23:50 | Adjusted Trade Balance | 0.24 | -0.21 | -0.21 | Medium | ||
| Wednesday, June 17, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 23:00 | Reuters Tankan Index | 8 | 9 | 12.00 | Low | ||