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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
JapanJapan 52-Week Bill Auction climbed to 1.62% in September 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Japan 52-Week Bill Auction climbed to 1.62% in September 2026, released October 2026, up 0.05% from August's 1.58% reading.
Latest Release
1.623000
Actual
—
Consensus
1.575000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.81 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.64 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.59 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| Nikkei 225 | ▼ Inverse | −0.52 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| Hang Seng | ▲ Direct | +0.42 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
52-Week Bill Auction (Japan) was reported at 1.62% in October 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 1.58%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 1.16%, ranging from 0.75% to 1.62% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 1.54%, up from the prior three at 1.12%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.28%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.09%). In October readings over the past 3 years, 52-Week Bill Auction has averaged 0.88%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC). A secondary relationship exists with XAU/USD, positively correlated (Bullish XAU).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 18, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include CFTC JPY speculative net positions (Oct 30) and Retail Sales YoY (Oct 30).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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52-Week Bill Auction - JP
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About 52-Week Bill Auction — Japan
DEFINITION
The 52-Week Bill Auction is a financial indicator that measures the demand for short-term government debt securities. It is a weekly auction where the US Treasury Department sells 52-week Treasury bills to investors, with the interest rate determined by the highest bid. This indicator is closely monitored by investors and analysts as it reflects the current market sentiment and can provide insights into the overall health of the economy. A high demand for these bills indicates confidence in the government's ability to repay its debt, while a low demand may signal concerns about the economy.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Oct 2026): actual 1.623 %. Prior reading (Sep 2026): 1.575 %. Before that (Aug 2026): 1.433 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC, r=0.81) — a useful reference for crypto-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - JP Events
| Thursday, October 29, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05:00 | JP | Consumer Confidence | 35 | 35.4 | 35.1 | 35.05 | High |
| 23:30 | JP | Jobs/applications ratio | 1.19 | 1.18 | 1.18 | 1.19 | Low |
| 23:30 | JP | Unemployment Rate | 2.4 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.45 | Medium |
| 23:30 | JP | Tokyo CPI Ex Food and Energy YoY | 2.6 | 2.9 | 2.7 | 2.65 | Low |
| 23:30 | JP | Tokyo CPI YoY | 2.8 | 2.7 | 3.3 | 3.05 | Low |
| 23:30 | JP | Tokyo Core CPI YoY | 2.6 | 2.7 | 2.6 | 2.60 | Low |
| 23:50 | JP | Industrial Production YoY | 1.9 | 2.7 | 3.1 | 2.50 | Low |
| 23:50 | JP | Retail Sales MoM | -0.7 | -0.9 | 0.6 | -0.05 | Low |
| 23:50 | JP | Retail Sales YoY | 2.3 | 2.9 | 3.3 | 2.80 | Medium |
| Friday, October 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 03:00 | JP | BoJ Interest Rate Decision | 1.25 | 1.25 | 1.25 | 1.25 | High |
| 05:00 | JP | Housing Starts YoY | -2.7 | 6.1 | 2.9 | 2.95 | Medium |
| 05:00 | JP | Construction Orders YoY | -11.1 | -3.6 | -3 | -2.70 | Low |