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Japan 10-Year Climate Transition JGB Auction held to 1.68 in September 2025, released October 2025.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.50 | FOREX | Bullish JPY | → View |
| EUR/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Bullish JPY | → View |
| Nikkei 225 | ▲ Direct | +0.45 | INDEX | Bullish JP | → View |
| GBP/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.40 | FOREX | Bullish JPY | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
10-Year Climate Transition JGB Auction (Japan) was reported at 1.68 in October 2025. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2025.
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/JPY (Bullish JPY). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/JPY, negatively correlated (Bullish JPY).
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Core Inflation Rate YoY (Jun 18) and Inflation Rate YoY (Jun 18).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2025.
The 10-Year Climate Transition JGB Auction is a financial indicator that measures the demand and interest for Japanese Government Bonds (JGBs) with a maturity of 10 years, specifically those that are issued to support climate transition initiatives. This auction provides insight into the market's confidence and support for Japan's efforts towards a more sustainable and environmentally-friendly economy. It is closely monitored by investors and analysts as a key indicator of Japan's progress in addressing climate change and its impact on the financial market.
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Oct 2025): actual 1.68 %. Prior reading (Oct 2024): 0.943 %.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print. Current dynamics are the primary headwind in the projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/JPY (Bullish JPY, r=-0.50) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Tuesday, June 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03:00 | BoJ Interest Rate Decision | 1 | 0.75 | 1 | 1.00 | High | |
| 23:00 | Reuters Tankan Index | 13 | 8 | 9 | 11.50 | Low | |
| 23:50 | Machinery Orders MoM | 8.7 | -9.4 | 0.9 | 3.87 | Medium | |
| 23:50 | Imports YoY | 12.5 | 9.8 | 12.8 | 12.65 | Low | |
| 23:50 | Exports YoY | 17 | 14.8 | 16.2 | 16.60 | Medium | |
| 23:50 | Balance of Trade | -378.7 | 299.3 | -564.6 | -471.65 | High | |
| 23:50 | Machinery Orders YoY | 15.6 | 5.9 | 9.3 | 11.68 | Medium | |
| 23:50 | Adjusted Trade Balance | -0.09 | 0.2 | -0.21 | -0.15 | Medium | |
| Thursday, June 18, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 23:30 | Inflation Rate Ex-Food and Energy YoY | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.90 | Low | ||
| 23:30 | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.40 | Medium | ||
| 23:30 | Inflation Rate YoY | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.60 | High | ||
| 23:30 | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Low | ||