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Data from U.K. Office for National Statistics. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United KingdomUnited Kingdom PPI Input MoM climbed to 1.5% in September 2026
U.K. Office for National StatisticsMonthlyReleased October 2026
United Kingdom PPI Input MoM climbed to 1.5% in September 2026, released October 2026, up 1.0% from August's 0.5% reading. The print came in cooler than the 1.6% consensus, a softer print than forecasters anticipated. PPI Input MoM has now risen for 4 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, PPI Input MoM averaged -0.7%, vs 0.2% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 83rd percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
1.5
Actual
1.6
Consensus
0.5
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.3 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: 1.15
Actual: 1.5
Error: -0.35
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.29 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| GBP/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.27 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
PPI Input MoM (United Kingdom) was reported at 1.5% in October 2026. This missed the market consensus of 1.6% by 0.1%. The reading rose from the previous value of 0.5%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.19%, ranging from -2% to 2.4% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 0.03%, down from the prior three at 0.2%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.3%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 18, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include CFTC GBP speculative net positions (Oct 30) and S&P Global Construction PMI (Nov 5).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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PPI Input MoM - UK
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About PPI Input MoM — United Kingdom
DEFINITION
PPI Input MoM (Producer Price Index Input Month-over-Month) is a key economic indicator that measures the change in the average prices paid by domestic producers for their inputs on a monthly basis. This indicator provides valuable insights into the cost of production for businesses and can impact inflation and consumer prices. It is closely monitored by economists, investors, and policymakers as a gauge of overall economic health and potential future price trends.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 1.5 %, consensus 1.6 %. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 0.3 %. Before that (Jul 2026): -1.7 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
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Economic Calendar - UK Events
| Thursday, October 29, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:01 | UK | Auto Production YoY | 38.6 | 6.1 | 5 | 21.80 | Low |
| 09:30 | UK | BoE Consumer Credit | 1.914 | 2.683 | 2.2 | 2.06 | Medium |
| 09:30 | UK | M4 Money Supply MoM | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.20 | Low |
| 09:30 | UK | Mortgage Approvals | 53.44 | 54.81 | 54 | 53.72 | Medium |
| 09:30 | UK | Mortgage Lending | 3.87 | 4.17 | 4.2 | 4.04 | Medium |
| 09:30 | UK | Net Lending to Individuals | 5.8 | 6.9 | 6.2 | 6.00 | Low |
| Friday, October 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:00 | UK | Nationwide Housing Prices YoY | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.55 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Nationwide Housing Prices MoM | 0 | -0.3 | -0.1 | -0.08 | Medium |
| 09:30 | UK | Inflation Rate | 3.4 | 3.3 | 3.4 | 3.40 | High |