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Data from U.K. Office for National Statistics. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United KingdomUnited Kingdom PPI Input YoY climbed to 8.3% in September 2026
U.K. Office for National StatisticsMonthlyReleased October 2026
United Kingdom PPI Input YoY climbed to 8.3% in September 2026, released October 2026, up 1.6% from August's 6.7% reading. The print came in hotter than the 7.2% consensus, a hotter print than forecasters anticipated. PPI Input YoY has now risen for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, PPI Input YoY averaged 5.5%, vs 7.9% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 90th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
8.3
Actual
7.2
Consensus
6.7
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1.02 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: 6.95
Actual: 8.3
Error: -1.35
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAX | ▲ Direct | +0.45 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/GBP | ▼ Inverse | −0.43 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| Euro STOXX 50 | ▲ Direct | +0.41 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.40 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.34 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
PPI Input YoY (United Kingdom) was reported at 8.3% in October 2026. This beat the market consensus of 7.2% by 1.1%. The reading rose from the previous value of 6.7%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 4.49%, ranging from -0.2% to 8.7% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 6.43%, down from the prior three at 7.9%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with DAX (Bullish DAX). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/GBP, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1.03%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 18, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include CFTC GBP speculative net positions (Oct 30) and S&P Global Construction PMI (Nov 5).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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PPI Input YoY - UK
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About PPI Input YoY — United Kingdom
DEFINITION
PPI Input YoY (Producer Price Index Input Year-over-Year) is a financial indicator that measures the change in the average prices paid by domestic producers for goods and services used in the production process over a 12-month period. This indicator provides valuable insights into the cost of production for businesses and can be used to anticipate potential changes in consumer prices. It is a key tool for analyzing inflation and overall economic trends.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 8.3 %, consensus 7.2 %. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 6.1 %. Before that (Jul 2026): 4.9 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with DAX (Bullish DAX, r=0.45) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - UK Events
| Thursday, October 29, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:01 | UK | Auto Production YoY | 38.6 | 6.1 | 5 | 21.80 | Low |
| 09:30 | UK | BoE Consumer Credit | 1.914 | 2.683 | 2.2 | 2.06 | Medium |
| 09:30 | UK | M4 Money Supply MoM | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.20 | Low |
| 09:30 | UK | Mortgage Approvals | 53.44 | 54.81 | 54 | 53.72 | Medium |
| 09:30 | UK | Mortgage Lending | 3.87 | 4.17 | 4.2 | 4.04 | Medium |
| 09:30 | UK | Net Lending to Individuals | 5.8 | 6.9 | 6.2 | 6.00 | Low |
| Friday, October 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:00 | UK | Nationwide Housing Prices YoY | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.55 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Nationwide Housing Prices MoM | 0 | -0.3 | -0.1 | -0.08 | Medium |
| 09:30 | UK | Inflation Rate | 3.4 | 3.3 | 3.4 | 3.40 | High |