Loading page content
Data from U.K. Office for National Statistics. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United KingdomUnited Kingdom PPI Input YoY fell to 7.3% in June 2026
U.K. Office for National StatisticsMonthlyReleased July 2026
United Kingdom PPI Input YoY fell to 7.3% in June 2026, released July 2026, down 2.0% from May's 9.3% reading. The print came in cooler than the 9.0% consensus, a softer print than forecasters anticipated. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 1.3%. Over the past 3 months, PPI Input YoY averaged 8.2%, vs 1.9% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 83rd percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
7.3
Actual
9
Consensus
9.3
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.58 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: 9.43
Actual: 7.3
Error: +2.13
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.73 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| GBP/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.55 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| FTSE 100 | ▼ Inverse | −0.46 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| Euro STOXX 50 | ▲ Direct | +0.39 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/GBP | ▼ Inverse | −0.37 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
PPI Input YoY (United Kingdom) was reported at 7.3% in July 2026. This missed the market consensus of 9% by 1.7%. The reading fell from the previous value of 9.3%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 3.66%, ranging from -0.2% to 8.7% across 7 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 7.9%, up from the prior three at 0.47%. Volatility over the past year (σ 3.71%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.98%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC). A secondary relationship exists with GBP/JPY, negatively correlated (Bearish GBP). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.58%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for August 19, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include CFTC GBP speculative net positions (Jul 31) and S&P Global Construction PMI (Aug 6).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
SHARE
PPI Input YoY - UK
Loading chart data...
About PPI Input YoY — United Kingdom
DEFINITION
PPI Input YoY (Producer Price Index Input Year-over-Year) is a financial indicator that measures the change in the average prices paid by domestic producers for goods and services used in the production process over a 12-month period. This indicator provides valuable insights into the cost of production for businesses and can be used to anticipate potential changes in consumer prices. It is a key tool for analyzing inflation and overall economic trends.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 7.3 %, consensus 9 %. Prior reading (May 2026): 8.7 %. Before that (Apr 2026): 7.7 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC, r=0.73) — a useful reference for crypto-focused traders.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
SIGMANOMICS MARKET FORECAST ENGINE
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
FOREXCRYPTOSTOCKSCOMMODITIESINDICESAPI
BLSBEAFMPWORLD BANKFRED
1,456+ instruments247 indicators530+ correlationsREST + GQL API
4,151 economic indicators127 countries covered6 data sources
FREDBLSEIAECBBOJFMP
Economic Calendar - UK Events
| Thursday, July 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11:00 | UK | BoE Interest Rate Decision | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | High |
| 11:00 | UK | BoE MPC Vote Cut | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9.00 | Medium |
| 11:00 | UK | Interest Rate Decision | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | High |
| 11:00 | UK | BoE MPC Vote Hike | 39 | 29 | 29 | 34.00 | Medium |
| 11:00 | UK | BoE MPC Vote Unchanged | 69 | 79 | 79 | 74.00 | Medium |
| Friday, July 31, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 06:00 | UK | Nationwide Housing Prices YoY | 1.8 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 2.07 | Medium |
| 06:00 | UK | Nationwide Housing Prices MoM | 0.1 | 0 | 0.1 | 0.28 | Medium |