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United Kingdom Balance of Trade Non-EU climbed to -13.05B in May 2026, released June 2026, up 2.15B from April's -15.2B reading.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Watch | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
Balance of Trade Non-EU (United Kingdom) was reported at -13.05 billion in June 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of -15.20 billion. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
Same-country events in the next 14 days include CFTC GBP speculative net positions (Jun 19) and CFTC GBP speculative net positions (Jun 22).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
The UK’s Balance of Trade Non-EU for May came in at -13.050 billion GBP, improving from April’s -15.200 billion GBP. The narrower deficit signals a reduction in trade imbalance with non-EU countries compared to the previous month. Market focus now shifts to upcoming trade data and Bank of England policy amid ongoing economic adjustments. Updated 6/12/26
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual -13.05 B. Prior reading (Mar 2026): -15.19 B. Before that (Feb 2026): -7.1 B.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print. Current dynamics are the primary tailwind in the projection.
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Thursday, June 18, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | Employment Change | 100 | 148 | 75 | 87.50 | Medium | |
| 06:00 | Claimant Count Change | 31.2 | 8.3 | 25.8 | 28.50 | Low | |
| 06:00 | Average Earnings excl. Bonus | 3.4 | 3.4 | 3.2 | 3.30 | Low | |
| 06:00 | HMRC Payrolls Change | 2 | -53 | -80 | -39.00 | Low | |
| 06:00 | Unemployment Rate | 4.9 | 5 | 5 | 4.95 | High | |
| 06:00 | Average Earnings incl. Bonus | 4.4 | 4.4 | 4 | 4.20 | Medium | |
| 11:00 | BoE Interest Rate Decision | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | High | |
| 11:00 | BoE MPC Vote Hike | 29 | 19 | 29 | 29.00 | Medium | |
| 11:00 | BoE MPC Vote Unchanged | 79 | 89 | 79 | 79.00 | Medium | |
| 11:00 | BoE MPC Vote Cut | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9.00 | Medium | |
| 11:00 | Interest Rate Decision | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | High | |
| 23:01 | Consumer Confidence | -23 | -23 | -24 | -23.50 | Medium | |
| Friday, June 19, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 06:00 | Retail Sales MoM | 1.2 | -1 | 0.5 | 0.85 | High | |
| 06:00 | Retail Sales YoY | 3.2 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 2.55 | Medium | |
| 06:00 | Public Sector Net Borrowing | -23.3 | -23 | -18.5 | -20.90 | Low | |
| 06:00 | Retail Sales Ex Fuel YoY | 4.6 | 1.1 | 3.3 | 3.95 | Low | |
| 06:00 | Retail Sales Ex Fuel MoM | 1.2 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 0.80 | Low | |
| Tuesday, June 23, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:30 | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 53.9 | 53.4 | 54.05 | High | ||
| 08:30 | S&P Global Services PMI | 49.3 | 49 | 48.10 | High | ||
| 08:30 | S&P Global Composite PMI | 49.7 | 49.1 | 48.15 | Low | ||
| 10:00 | CBI Industrial Trends Orders | -41 | -46 | -45.00 | Medium | ||
| Wednesday, June 24, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | CBI Industrial Trends Orders | -41 | -46 | -45.00 | Medium | ||