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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United KingdomUnited Kingdom Balance of Trade Non-EU fell to -10.45B in July 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
United Kingdom Balance of Trade Non-EU fell to -10.45B in July 2026, released August 2026, down 0.87B from June's -9.58B reading.
Latest Release
-10.450000
Actual
—
Consensus
-9.580000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Balance of Trade Non-EU (United Kingdom) was reported at -10.45 billion in August 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of -9.58 billion. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for September 11, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include CBI Distributive Trades (Aug 26) and CBI Distributive Trades (Aug 27).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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Balance of Trade Non-EU - UK
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About Balance of Trade Non-EU — United Kingdom
DEFINITION
The UK’s Balance of Trade Non-EU for July registered at -10.450 billion GBP, widening from June’s -9.580 billion GBP. This marks a deeper trade deficit compared to the previous month, indicating increased import costs or reduced export revenues outside the EU. Market focus will remain on upcoming trade data and Bank of England policy amid persistent external imbalances. Updated 8/13/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual -10.45 B. Prior reading (May 2026): -7.14 B. Before that (Apr 2026): -13.05 B.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - UK Events
| Wednesday, August 26, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:00 | UK | CBI Distributive Trades | -26 | -24 | -17.00 | Medium | |
| 23:01 | UK | Car Production YoY | -1.2 | 1 | -6.10 | Low | |
| Thursday, August 27, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | UK | CBI Distributive Trades | -26 | -21 | -14.00 | Medium | |
| Friday, August 28, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 06:00 | UK | Nationwide Housing Prices YoY | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1.90 | Medium | |
| 06:00 | UK | Nationwide Housing Prices MoM | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.10 | Medium | |