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United Kingdom Core Retail Sales YoY held to 2.1 in July 2013. The print exceeded the 1.6 consensus by 0.5.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GBP/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | FOREX | Bullish GBP | → View |
| EUR/GBP | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
| GBP/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Bullish GBP | → View |
| FTSE 100 | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | INDEX | Bullish UK | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with GBP/USD (Bullish GBP) and negatively correlated with EUR/GBP (Bearish EUR).
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Tuesday, May 19, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | Claimant Count Change | 26.8 | 27.3 | 30.60 | Low | ||
| 06:00 | Average Earnings incl. Bonus | 3.8 | 3.8 | 3.70 | Medium | ||
| 06:00 | Employment Change | 25 | 15 | 61.00 | Medium | ||
| 06:00 | Unemployment Rate | 4.9 | 4.9 | 4.95 | High | ||
| 06:00 | HMRC Payrolls Change | -11 | -26 | -26.00 | Low | ||
| 08:30 | Labour Productivity QoQ | -0.6 | -0.3 | -0.30 | Low | ||
| Wednesday, May 20, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 06:00 | Core Inflation Rate MoM | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.80 | Low | ||
| 06:00 | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.85 | Medium | ||
| 06:00 | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 3.1 | 2.7 | 2.75 | Medium | ||
| 06:00 | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.3 | 3 | 3.00 | High | ||
| 06:00 | PPI Output MoM | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.85 | Low | ||
| 06:00 | PPI Input MoM | 4.4 | 1.1 | 1.25 | Low | ||
| 06:00 | Retail Price Index MoM | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.90 | Low | ||
| 06:00 | PPI Output YoY | 2.6 | 2.7 | 2.35 | Low | ||
| 06:00 | PPI Core Output YoY | 2 | 1.9 | 1.90 | Low | ||
| 06:00 | PPI Core Output MoM | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Low | ||
| 06:00 | Retail Price Index YoY | 4.1 | 3.7 | 3.65 | Low | ||
| 06:00 | PPI Input YoY | 5.4 | 5.8 | 5.25 | Low | ||