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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United KingdomUnited Kingdom S&P Global Manufacturing PMI climbed to 53.9 in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
United Kingdom S&P Global Manufacturing PMI climbed to 53.9 in May 2026, released June 2026, up 0.2 from April's 53.7 reading. The reading matched the 53.7 consensus.
Latest Release
53.900000
Actual
53.700000
Consensus
53.700000
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.54
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jun 2026
Predicted: 53.97
Actual: 53.9
Error: +0.07
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (United Kingdom) was reported at 53.90 in May 2026. This beat the market consensus of 53.70 by 0.20. The reading rose from the previous value of 53.70. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 49.86, ranging from 46.20 to 53.90 across 19 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 52.87, up from the prior three at 51.70. Volatility over the past year (σ 2.31) is lower than the prior year (σ 3.02). In June readings over the past 3 years, S&P Global Manufacturing PMI has averaged 50.12.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.54.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for June 23, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Inflation Rate MoM (Jun 17) and Core Inflation Rate YoY (Jun 17).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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S&P Global Manufacturing PMI - UK
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About S&P Global Manufacturing PMI — United Kingdom
DEFINITION
The S&P Global Manufacturing PMI is a widely recognized financial indicator that measures the performance of the manufacturing sector in major economies around the world. It provides valuable insights into the health and growth of the global manufacturing industry, serving as a key barometer for investors, businesses, and policymakers. The index is based on a monthly survey of purchasing managers, and its timely and accurate data is highly regarded for its ability to forecast economic trends and inform decision-making.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 53.9, consensus 53.7. Prior reading (May 2026): 53.7. Before that (Apr 2026): 53.7.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.