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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United KingdomUnited Kingdom S&P Global Manufacturing PMI climbed to 52.8 Points in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
United Kingdom S&P Global Manufacturing PMI climbed to 52.8 Points in June 2026, released July 2026, up 0.3 Points from May's 52.5 Points reading. The reading matched the 52 Points consensus.
Latest Release
52.800000
Actual
52.000000
Consensus
52.500000
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.63
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: 52.03
Actual: 52.8
Error: -0.77
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (United Kingdom) was reported at 52.80 Points in June 2026. This beat the market consensus of 52.00 Points by 0.80 Points. The reading rose from the previous value of 52.50 Points. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 50.39 Points, ranging from 46.20 Points to 53.90 Points across 19 releases. This is classified as a high-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 53.27 Points, up from the prior three at 52.03 Points. Volatility over the past year (σ 2.38 Points) is lower than the prior year (σ 2.87 Points). In July readings over the past 3 years, S&P Global Manufacturing PMI has averaged 50.93 Points.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.63 Points.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for August 21, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include CFTC GBP speculative net positions (Jul 31) and S&P Global Construction PMI (Aug 6).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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S&P Global Manufacturing PMI - UK
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About S&P Global Manufacturing PMI — United Kingdom
DEFINITION
The S&P Global Manufacturing PMI is a widely recognized financial indicator that measures the performance of the manufacturing sector in major economies around the world. It provides valuable insights into the health and growth of the global manufacturing industry, serving as a key barometer for investors, businesses, and policymakers. The index is based on a monthly survey of purchasing managers, and its timely and accurate data is highly regarded for its ability to forecast economic trends and inform decision-making.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 52.8 Points, consensus 52 Points. Prior reading (Jun 2026): 53.1 Points. Before that (May 2026): 53.9 Points.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - UK Events
| Thursday, July 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11:00 | UK | BoE Interest Rate Decision | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | High |
| 11:00 | UK | BoE MPC Vote Cut | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9.00 | Medium |
| 11:00 | UK | Interest Rate Decision | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | High |
| 11:00 | UK | BoE MPC Vote Hike | 39 | 29 | 29 | 34.00 | Medium |
| 11:00 | UK | BoE MPC Vote Unchanged | 69 | 79 | 79 | 74.00 | Medium |
| Friday, July 31, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 06:00 | UK | Nationwide Housing Prices YoY | 1.8 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 2.07 | Medium |
| 06:00 | UK | Nationwide Housing Prices MoM | 0.1 | 0 | 0.1 | 0.28 | Medium |