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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United KingdomUnited Kingdom Markit/CIPS Manufacturing PMI fell to 55.5 in February 2022
FMPMonthlyReleased March 2022
United Kingdom Markit/CIPS Manufacturing PMI fell to 55.5 in February 2022, released March 2022, down 2.5 from January's 58 reading. The reading matched the 56.7 consensus.
Latest Release
55.500000
Actual
56.700000
Consensus
58.000000
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.56
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Mar 2022
Predicted: 56.75
Actual: 55.5
Error: +1.25
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GBP/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | FOREX | Bullish GBP | → View |
| EUR/GBP | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
| GBP/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Bullish GBP | → View |
| FTSE 100 | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | INDEX | Bullish UK | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
The March 2022 reading fell from the previous value of 58. Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmanomics model has produced a median absolute forecast error of ±0.56. Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with GBP/USD (Bullish GBP) and negatively correlated with EUR/GBP (Bearish EUR).
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Markit/CIPS Manufacturing PMI - UK
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Economic Calendar - UK Events
| Tuesday, May 19, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | UK | Average Earnings excl. Bonus | 3.4 | 3.6 | 3.4 | 3.40 | Low |
| 06:00 | UK | Claimant Count Change | 26.5 | 4.9 | 27.3 | 26.90 | Low |
| 06:00 | UK | Average Earnings incl. Bonus | 4.1 | 3.9 | 3.8 | 3.95 | Medium |
| 06:00 | UK | Employment Change | 148 | 24 | 107 | 127.50 | Medium |
| 06:00 | UK | Unemployment Rate | 5 | 4.9 | 4.9 | 4.95 | High |
| 06:00 | UK | HMRC Payrolls Change | -100 | -28 | -26 | -63.00 | Low |
| 08:30 | UK | Labour Productivity QoQ | 0.9 | -0.5 | -0.3 | 0.30 | Low |
| Wednesday, May 20, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 06:00 | UK | Core Inflation Rate MoM | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.80 | Low | |
| 06:00 | UK | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.85 | Medium | |
| 06:00 | UK | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 3.1 | 2.6 | 2.65 | Medium | |
| 06:00 | UK | PPI Output MoM | 0.9 | 1 | 0.95 | Low | |
| 06:00 | UK | PPI Input MoM | 4.4 | 1 | 1.15 | Low | |
| 06:00 | UK | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.3 | 3 | 3.00 | High | |
| 06:00 | UK | Retail Price Index MoM | 0.8 | 1.4 | 1.20 | Low | |
| 06:00 | UK | PPI Output YoY | 2.6 | 2.8 | 2.45 | Low | |
| 06:00 | UK | PPI Core Output YoY | 2 | 1.9 | 1.90 | Low | |
| 06:00 | UK | PPI Core Output MoM | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Low | |
| 06:00 | UK | Retail Price Index YoY | 4.1 | 3.6 | 3.55 | Low | |
| 06:00 | UK | PPI Input YoY | 5.4 | 5.9 | 5.35 | Low | |
| 06:00 | UK | CPI YoY | 3.1 | 2.6 | 2.60 | Low | |
| 06:00 | UK | CPI MoM | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.90 | Medium | |
| 08:30 | UK | House Price Index YoY | 1.2 | -0.1 | 0.20 | Low | |
| Thursday, May 21, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:30 | UK | S&P Global Composite PMI | 52.6 | 51.6 | 51.90 | Low | |
| 08:30 | UK | S&P Global Services PMI | 52.7 | 51.7 | 51.90 | High | |
| 08:30 | UK | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 53.7 | 53 | 53.25 | High | |
| 10:00 | UK | CBI Industrial Trends Orders | -38 | -40 | -41.50 | Medium | |
| 23:01 | UK | Consumer Confidence | -25 | -28 | -28.00 | Medium | |
| Friday, May 22, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 06:00 | UK | Retail Sales YoY | 1.7 | 1.3 | 2.20 | Medium | |
| 06:00 | UK | Retail Sales MoM | 0.7 | -0.6 | 0.20 | High | |
| 06:00 | UK | Public Sector Net Borrowing | -12.6 | -20.9 | -20.90 | Low | |
| 06:00 | UK | Retail Sales Ex Fuel YoY | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.50 | Low | |
| 06:00 | UK | Retail Sales Ex Fuel MoM | 0.2 | -0.3 | 0.65 | Low | |