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United Kingdom Markit Manufacturing PMI held to 58.4 in December 2013. The reading matched the 56.3 consensus. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 53.16. Over the past 3 months, Markit Manufacturing PMI averaged 56.35, vs 54.77 in the prior 3-month window. Markit Manufacturing PMI is now the highest in 8 months.
across last 9 releases
Dec 2013
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GBP/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | FOREX | Bullish GBP | → View |
| EUR/GBP | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
| GBP/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Bullish GBP | → View |
| FTSE 100 | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | INDEX | Bullish UK | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
Over the last 9 releases, the Sigmanomics model has produced a median absolute forecast error of ±1.38. Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with GBP/USD (Bullish GBP) and negatively correlated with EUR/GBP (Bearish EUR).
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Tuesday, May 19, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | Average Earnings excl. Bonus | 3.4 | 3.6 | 3.4 | 3.40 | Low | |
| 06:00 | Claimant Count Change | 26.5 | 4.9 | 27.3 | 26.90 | Low | |
| 06:00 | Average Earnings incl. Bonus | 4.1 | 3.9 | 3.8 | 3.95 | Medium | |
| 06:00 | Employment Change | 148 | 24 | 107 | 127.50 | Medium | |
| 06:00 | Unemployment Rate | 5 | 4.9 | 4.9 | 4.95 | High | |
| 06:00 | HMRC Payrolls Change | -100 | -28 | -26 | -63.00 | Low | |
| 08:30 | Labour Productivity QoQ | 0.9 | -0.5 | -0.3 | 0.30 | Low | |
| Wednesday, May 20, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 06:00 | Core Inflation Rate MoM | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.80 | Low | ||
| 06:00 | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.85 | Medium | ||
| 06:00 | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 3.1 | 2.6 | 2.65 | Medium | ||
| 06:00 | PPI Output MoM | 0.9 | 1 | 0.95 | Low | ||
| 06:00 | PPI Input MoM | 4.4 | 1 | 1.15 | Low | ||
| 06:00 | Retail Price Index MoM | 0.8 | 1.4 | 1.20 | Low | ||
| 06:00 | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.3 | 3 | 3.00 | High | ||
| 06:00 | PPI Output YoY | 2.6 | 2.8 | 2.45 | Low | ||
| 06:00 | PPI Core Output YoY | 2 | 1.9 | 1.90 | Low | ||
| 06:00 | PPI Core Output MoM | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Low | ||
| 06:00 | Retail Price Index YoY | 4.1 | 3.6 | 3.55 | Low | ||
| 06:00 | PPI Input YoY | 5.4 | 5.9 | 5.35 | Low | ||
| 06:00 | CPI YoY | 3.1 | 2.6 | 2.60 | Low | ||
| 06:00 | CPI MoM | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.90 | Medium | ||
| 08:30 | House Price Index YoY | 1.2 | -0.1 | 0.20 | Low | ||
| Thursday, May 21, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:30 | S&P Global Composite PMI | 52.6 | 51.6 | 51.90 | Low | ||
| 08:30 | S&P Global Services PMI | 52.7 | 51.7 | 51.90 | High | ||
| 08:30 | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 53.7 | 53 | 53.25 | High | ||
| 10:00 | CBI Industrial Trends Orders | -38 | -40 | -41.50 | Medium | ||
| 23:01 | Consumer Confidence | -25 | -28 | -28.00 | Medium | ||
| Friday, May 22, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 06:00 | Retail Sales YoY | 1.7 | 1.3 | 2.20 | Medium | ||
| 06:00 | Retail Sales MoM | 0.7 | -0.6 | 0.20 | High | ||
| 06:00 | Public Sector Net Borrowing | -12.6 | -20.9 | -20.90 | Low | ||
| 06:00 | Retail Sales Ex Fuel YoY | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.50 | Low | ||
| 06:00 | Retail Sales Ex Fuel MoM | 0.2 | -0.3 | 0.65 | Low | ||