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Japan Tokyo CPI Ex Food and Energy MoM climbed to 0.6% in October 2026, up 0.2% from September's 0.4% reading.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
Tokyo CPI Ex Food and Energy MoM (Japan) was reported at 0.6% in October 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 0.4%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026.
Same-country events in the next 14 days include CFTC JPY speculative net positions (Oct 30) and Retail Sales YoY (Oct 30).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
Japan's Tokyo CPI Ex Food and Energy MoM rose 0.600000% in September, accelerating from August's 0.400000% and signaling faster core inflation. The increase marks continued price pressure excluding volatile items, reinforcing the Bank of Japan's cautious stance amid persistent inflation. Market participants will closely watch upcoming data for further inflation trajectory insights. Updated 10/30/26
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Oct 2026): actual 0.6 %.
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| Thursday, October 29, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05:00 | Consumer Confidence | 35 | 35.4 | 35.1 | 35.05 | High | |
| 23:30 | Jobs/applications ratio | 1.19 | 1.18 | 1.18 | 1.19 | Low | |
| 23:30 | Unemployment Rate | 2.4 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.45 | Medium | |
| 23:30 | Tokyo CPI Ex Food and Energy YoY | 2.6 | 2.9 | 2.7 | 2.65 | Low | |
| 23:30 | Tokyo CPI YoY | 2.8 | 2.7 | 3.3 | 3.05 | Low | |
| 23:30 | Tokyo Core CPI YoY | 2.6 | 2.7 | 2.6 | 2.60 | Low | |
| 23:50 | Industrial Production MoM | 2.2 | -2.4 | 1.3 | 1.75 | Medium | |
| 23:50 | Industrial Production YoY | 1.9 | 2.7 | 3.1 | 2.50 | Low | |
| 23:50 | Retail Sales MoM | -0.7 | -0.9 | 0.6 | -0.05 | Low | |
| 23:50 | Retail Sales YoY | 2.3 | 2.9 | 3.3 | 2.80 | Medium | |
| Friday, October 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 03:00 | BoJ Interest Rate Decision | 1.25 | 1.25 | 1.25 | 1.25 | High | |
| 05:00 | Housing Starts YoY | -2.7 | 6.1 | 2.9 | 2.95 | Medium | |
| 05:00 | Construction Orders YoY | -11.1 | -3.6 | -3 | -2.70 | Low | |