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Japan Unemployment (% of Labor Force) fell to 2.45 Percent in December 2025, down 0.05 Percent from November's 2.5 Percent reading.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Watch | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
Unemployment (% of Labor Force) (Japan) was reported at 2.45 Percent in December 2025. The reading fell from the previous value of 2.50 Percent. This is classified as a high-impact indicator released on a yearly basis.
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. In December readings over the past 3 years, Unemployment (% of Labor Force) has averaged 2.52 Percent.
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Core Inflation Rate YoY (Jun 18) and Inflation Rate YoY (Jun 18).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update December 2025.
Japan's Unemployment (% of Labor Force) for December 2025 registered at 2.451%, down from November 2024's 2.5%, indicating a slight improvement in labor market conditions. The rate has steadily declined from 2.6% in December 2023, reflecting ongoing labor market tightening. Market participants will watch upcoming employment data for further confirmation of this trend. Updated 5/1/26
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. Surprises against consensus typically move rates and currencies on release. Released annually.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print. Current dynamics are the primary tailwind in the projection.
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| Thursday, June 18, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23:30 | Inflation Rate Ex-Food and Energy YoY | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.95 | Low | ||
| 23:30 | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.35 | Medium | ||
| 23:30 | Inflation Rate YoY | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.60 | High | ||
| 23:30 | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.10 | Low | ||
| Tuesday, June 23, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:30 | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 54.5 | 53.6 | 52.90 | Medium | ||
| 00:30 | S&P Global Services PMI | 50 | 50.3 | 50.95 | Medium | ||
| 00:30 | S&P Global Composite PMI | 51.1 | 50.8 | 51.40 | Low | ||