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Data from World Bank. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
JapanJapan Unemployment (% of Labor Force) fell to 2.45 Percent in December 2025
World BankYearlyReleased December 2025
Japan Unemployment (% of Labor Force) fell to 2.45 Percent in December 2025, down 0.05 Percent from November's 2.5 Percent reading.
Latest Release
2.451000
Actual
—
Consensus
2.500000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Unemployment (% of Labor Force) (Japan) was reported at 2.45 Percent in December 2025. The reading fell from the previous value of 2.50 Percent. This is classified as a high-impact indicator released on a yearly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. In December readings over the past 3 years, Unemployment (% of Labor Force) has averaged 2.52 Percent.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Inflation Rate YoY (Sep 17) and Core Inflation Rate YoY (Sep 17).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update December 2025.
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Unemployment (% of Labor Force) - JP
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About Unemployment (% of Labor Force) — Japan
DEFINITION
Japan's Unemployment (% of Labor Force) for December 2025 registered at 2.451%, down from November 2024's 2.5%, indicating a slight improvement in labor market conditions. The rate has steadily declined from 2.6% in December 2023, reflecting ongoing labor market tightening. Market participants will watch upcoming employment data for further confirmation of this trend. Updated 5/1/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. Surprises against consensus typically move rates and currencies on release. Released annually.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print. Current dynamics are the primary tailwind in the projection.
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Economic Calendar - JP Events
| Tuesday, September 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04:30 | JP | Tertiary Industry Index MoM | 0.4 | -0.2 | 0.3 | 0.35 | Low |
| 23:50 | JP | Exports YoY | 19.3 | 23.2 | 18.2 | 18.75 | Medium |
| 23:50 | JP | Balance of Trade | -1105.6 | -638.3 | -1052.6 | -1079.10 | High |
| 23:50 | JP | Imports YoY | 28 | 27.9 | 26.3 | 27.15 | Low |
| 23:50 | JP | Machinery Orders MoM | -3.7 | 9.7 | -2.8 | -3.25 | Medium |
| 23:50 | JP | Machinery Orders YoY | 11.2 | 16.9 | 15.3 | 13.25 | Medium |
| 23:50 | JP | Adjusted Trade Balance | -0.84 | -0.68 | -1 | -0.92 | Medium |