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Japan S&P Global Composite PMI fell to 51.1 in May 2026, released June 2026, down 1.1 from April's 52.2 reading. The reading matched the 51.1 consensus.
across last 12 releases
Jun 2026
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GBP/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.76 | FOREX | Bullish GBP | → View |
| AUD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.72 | FOREX | Bullish AUD | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.65 | COMMODITIES | Bullish XAU | → View |
| EUR/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.65 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
| Nikkei 225 | ▼ Inverse | −0.50 | INDEX | Bearish Nikkei 225 | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
S&P Global Composite PMI (Japan) was reported at 51.10 in May 2026. This matched the market consensus of 51.10 exactly. The reading fell from the previous value of 52.20. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 52.01, ranging from 51.10 to 53.90 across 13 releases.
The trailing three releases averaged 51.73, down from the prior three at 53.17.
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with GBP/JPY (Bullish GBP). A secondary relationship exists with AUD/JPY, positively correlated (Bullish AUD). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.31.
The next release is scheduled for June 23, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Monetary Policy Statement (Jun 16) and BoJ Interest Rate Decision (Jun 16).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
The S&P Global Composite PMI is a widely recognized financial indicator that measures the overall economic health of a country by combining the manufacturing and services sectors. It provides valuable insights into the current state of the economy, as well as future trends, and is used by investors, policymakers, and businesses to make informed decisions. With its comprehensive and timely data, the S&P Global Composite PMI is a crucial tool for understanding the performance of the global economy.
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 51.1, consensus 51.1. Prior reading (May 2026): 51.1. Before that (Apr 2026): 52.2.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with GBP/JPY (Bullish GBP, r=0.76) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Monday, June 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04:30 | Tertiary Industry Index MoM | 1.3 | -0.6 | 0.5 | 0.93 | Low | |
| Tuesday, June 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 03:00 | BoJ Interest Rate Decision | 0.75 | 1 | 1.00 | High | ||
| 23:00 | Reuters Tankan Index | 8 | 9 | 12.00 | Low | ||
| 23:50 | Machinery Orders MoM | -9.4 | 0.9 | 2.95 | Medium | ||
| 23:50 | Imports YoY | 9.7 | 12.8 | 12.15 | Low | ||
| 23:50 | Exports YoY | 14.8 | 16.2 | 17.50 | Medium | ||
| 23:50 | Balance of Trade | 301.9 | -564.6 | -294.35 | High | ||
| 23:50 | Machinery Orders YoY | 5.9 | 9.3 | 10.90 | Medium | ||
| 23:50 | Adjusted Trade Balance | 0.24 | -0.21 | -0.21 | Medium | ||
| Wednesday, June 17, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 23:00 | Reuters Tankan Index | 8 | 9 | 12.00 | Low | ||