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Retail Sales YoY climbed to 1.7 in March 2026, up 1.8 from February's -0.1 reading. The print exceeded the 0.8 consensus by 0.9. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 1.14. Over the past 3 months, Retail Sales YoY averaged 0.23, vs 1.35 in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 43rd percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
The April 2026 reading rose from the previous value of -0.1. Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with Nikkei 225 (Bearish Nikkei 225) and positively correlated with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU).
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Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Monday, May 11, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23:30 | Household Spending YoY | -2.9 | -1.8 | -1.3 | -2.10 | Medium | |
| 23:30 | Household Spending MoM | -1.3 | 1.5 | 0.6 | -0.35 | Medium | |
| Tuesday, May 12, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 05:00 | Leading Economic Index | 114.5 | 113.2 | 114.6 | 114.55 | Low | |
| 05:00 | Coincident Index | 116.5 | 116.2 | 112 | 114.25 | Low | |
| 05:00 | CB Leading Index | 114.5 | 113.2 | 114.4 | 114.45 | Low | |
| 23:50 | Current Account | 3933 | 3879 | 3879.00 | Medium | ||
| 23:50 | Bank Lending YoY | 4.8 | 4.6 | 4.60 | Low | ||
| Wednesday, May 13, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 05:00 | Eco Watchers Survey Outlook | 38.7 | 36 | 36.00 | Low | ||
| 05:00 | Eco Watchers Survey Current | 42.2 | 41.6 | 41.60 | Low | ||