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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS 3-Month Bill Auction fell to 3.62% in March 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased March 2026
US 3-Month Bill Auction fell to 3.62% in March 2026, down 0.01% from February's 3.64% reading.
Latest Release
3.620000
Actual
—
Consensus
3.635000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSFT | ▼ Inverse | −0.34 | STOCKS | Bearish MSFT | → View |
| GOOGL | ▼ Inverse | −0.27 | STOCKS | Bearish GOOGL | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.26 | INDEX | Bearish S&P 500 | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
3-Month Bill Auction (United States) was reported at 3.62% in March 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 3.64%. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 3.87%, ranging from 3.54% to 4.26% across 44 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 3.62%, up from the prior three at 3.6%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.26%) is lower than the prior year (σ 0.7%). In March readings over the past 3 years, 3-Month Bill Auction has averaged 4.29%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with MSFT (Bearish MSFT).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for May 25, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Chicago Fed National Activity Index (May 25) and Chicago Fed National Activity Index (May 26).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update March 2026.
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3-Month Bill Auction - US
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About 3-Month Bill Auction — United States
DEFINITION
The 3-Month Bill Auction is a financial indicator that measures the demand for short-term government debt securities. It is a highly anticipated event in the financial market as it provides insight into the current economic conditions and investor sentiment. The auction involves the sale of 3-month Treasury bills to investors, with the interest rate determined by competitive bidding. This indicator is closely monitored by investors and analysts as it reflects the government's ability to borrow money and the overall health of the economy.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 3.6 %. Prior reading (May 2026): 3.61 %. Before that (May 2026): 3.61 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.