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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS MBA Mortgage Market Index climbed to 280.1 in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
US MBA Mortgage Market Index climbed to 280.1 in May 2026, released June 2026, up 27.3 from April's 252.8 reading.
Latest Release
280.100000
Actual
—
Consensus
252.800000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Bullish Stocks | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Bearish Gold | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
MBA Mortgage Market Index (United States) was reported at 280.10 in June 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 252.80. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 307.95, ranging from 245.70 to 389.60 across 44 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 264.10, down from the prior three at 283.97. Volatility over the past year (σ 40.20) is higher than the prior year (σ 27.43). In June readings over the past 3 years, MBA Mortgage Market Index has averaged 229.17.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for June 17, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Jun 15) and Industrial Production MoM (Jun 15).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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MBA Mortgage Market Index - US
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About MBA Mortgage Market Index — United States
DEFINITION
The MBA Mortgage Market Index is a widely recognized and respected financial indicator that tracks the overall health and activity of the mortgage market. It provides valuable insights into the current state of the housing market and serves as a key tool for investors, lenders, and policymakers in making informed decisions. With its comprehensive data and timely updates, the MBA Mortgage Market Index is an essential resource for understanding and analyzing trends in the mortgage industry.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Housing data leads broader economic cycles by several months and is highly rate-sensitive, with knock-on effects to construction, materials, and consumer credit. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 280.1. Prior reading (Jun 2026): 252.8. Before that (May 2026): 259.4.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.