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US Fed Pace of MBS Purchase Program held to 40 in October 2013. The reading matched the 40 consensus.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Bullish Stocks | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Bearish Gold | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
Fed Pace of MBS Purchase Program (United States) was reported at 40.00 in October 2013. This matched the market consensus of 40.00 exactly. The reading was unchanged from the previous release.
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Building Permits MoM (Jun 16) and Building Permits (Jun 16).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2013.
The Fed Pace of MBS Purchase Program is a key financial indicator that measures the rate at which the Federal Reserve is purchasing mortgage-backed securities (MBS). This program is a crucial tool used by the Fed to support the housing market and stimulate economic growth. A higher pace of MBS purchases indicates a more aggressive approach by the Fed, while a slower pace may suggest a more cautious stance. As such, this indicator is closely monitored by investors and analysts as it can provide insights into the Fed's monetary policy and potential market trends.
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Oct 2013): actual 40, consensus 40. Prior reading (Sep 2013): 40.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print. Current dynamics are the primary neutral force in the projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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| Monday, June 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | NY Empire State Manufacturing Index | 5.7 | 19.6 | 14 | 11.07 | Medium | |
| 13:15 | Industrial Production MoM | 0.1 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.28 | Medium | |
| 13:15 | Capacity Utilization | 76.2 | 76.1 | 76.2 | 76.22 | Low | |
| 13:15 | Industrial Production YoY | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 1.67 | Low | |
| 13:15 | Manufacturing Production MoM | 0 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.18 | Low | |
| 13:15 | Manufacturing Production YoY | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1.45 | Low | |
| 14:00 | NAHB Housing Market Index | 35 | 37 | 36 | 36.00 | Medium | |
| Tuesday, June 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Building Permits MoM | 4.4 | -0.6 | -0.60 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Building Permits | 1.423 | 1.42 | 1.42 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Import Prices YoY | 4.2 | 6 | 6.00 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Housing Starts MoM | -2.8 | -2 | -2.00 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Housing Starts | 1.465 | 1.43 | 1.43 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Export Prices YoY | 8.8 | 10.4 | 10.40 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Import Prices MoM | 1.9 | 1 | 1.00 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Export Prices MoM | 3.3 | 1.2 | 1.20 | Medium | ||
| 20:30 | API Crude Oil Stock Change | -9.119 | -4.5 | -0.90 | Medium | ||
| Wednesday, June 17, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Retail Sales MoM | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.40 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Retail Sales YoY | 4.9 | 4 | 4.00 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Medium | ||
| 14:00 | Business Inventories MoM | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Medium | ||
| 14:00 | Pending Home Sales YoY | 3.2 | 3 | 3.50 | Medium | ||
| 14:00 | Pending Home Sales MoM | 1.4 | 0.8 | 1.95 | Medium | ||
| 14:00 | Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.60 | Low | ||
| 14:30 | EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change | -7.228 | -4.5 | -1.62 | Medium | ||
| 14:30 | EIA Gasoline Stocks Change | 0.186 | -1.4 | -3.32 | Medium | ||
| 14:30 | EIA Distillate Stocks Change | -0.2 | -0.2 | -0.71 | Low | ||
| 18:00 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | High | ||