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US Fed Pace of MBS Purchase Program held to 40 in October 2013. The reading matched the 40 consensus.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
Fed Pace of MBS Purchase Program (United States) was reported at 40.00 in October 2013. This matched the market consensus of 40.00 exactly. The reading was unchanged from the previous release.
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Chicago PMI (Jul 31) and Michigan 1 Year Inflation Expectations (Jul 31).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2013.
The Fed Pace of MBS Purchase Program is a key financial indicator that measures the rate at which the Federal Reserve is purchasing mortgage-backed securities (MBS). This program is a crucial tool used by the Fed to support the housing market and stimulate economic growth. A higher pace of MBS purchases indicates a more aggressive approach by the Fed, while a slower pace may suggest a more cautious stance. As such, this indicator is closely monitored by investors and analysts as it can provide insights into the Fed's monetary policy and potential market trends.
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Oct 2013): actual 40, consensus 40. Prior reading (Sep 2013): 40.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print. Current dynamics are the primary neutral force in the projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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| Thursday, July 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | Personal Income MoM | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.25 | High | |
| 12:30 | PCE Price Index MoM | -0.1 | 0.5 | -0.1 | -0.10 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | PCE Prices QoQ | 5.1 | 4.6 | 4 | 4.55 | Low | |
| 12:30 | Initial Jobless Claims | 197 | 188 | 200 | 198.50 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | Real Consumer Spending QoQ | 3.2 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 1.80 | Low | |
| 12:30 | PCE Price Index YoY | 3.7 | 4.1 | 3.7 | 3.70 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 1.5 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 1.80 | High | |
| 12:30 | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1782 | 1789 | 1800 | 1791.00 | Low | |
| 12:30 | Gross Domestic Product QoQ | 1.5 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 1.80 | High | |
| 12:30 | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 202.75 | 207.75 | 210 | 206.38 | Low | |
| 12:30 | Core PCE Price Index MoM | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.15 | High | |
| 12:30 | GDP Sales QoQ | 2.2 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 1.80 | Low | |
| 12:30 | Core PCE Price Index YoY | 3.3 | 3.4 | 3.3 | 3.30 | Low | |
| 12:30 | Core PCE Prices QoQ | 3.4 | 4.4 | 3.5 | 3.45 | Low | |
| 12:30 | GDP Price Index QoQ | 6.3 | 3.6 | 3.6 | 4.95 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | Personal Spending MoM | 0.3 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.30 | High | |
| 14:30 | EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change | 28 | 32 | 35 | 31.50 | Low | |