United StatesUS 3-Year KTB Auction fell to 2.62% in January 2025
US 3-Year KTB Auction fell to 2.62% in January 2025, released 10 Feb 2025, down 0.01% from December's 2.63% reading.
Latest Release
Backtest — not a live record
A backtest will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Method: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
3-Year KTB Auction (United States) was reported at 2.62% in January 2025. The reading fell from the previous value of 2.63%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Core PPI MoM (Nov 13) and Producer Price Index MoM (Nov 13).
3-Year KTB Auction - US
About 3-Year KTB Auction — United States
DEFINITION
The 3-Year KTB Auction is a financial indicator that measures the interest rates at which the Thai government borrows money by issuing 3-year bonds, known as KTBs. This auction is closely monitored by investors and analysts as it reflects the current state of the Thai economy and the government's borrowing costs. A successful auction with low interest rates indicates a strong economy and investor confidence, while a high interest rate may suggest economic instability. The 3-Year KTB Auction is an important tool for assessing the overall financial health of Thailand and its impact on the global market.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT'S NEXT
This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
SIGMANOMICS MARKET FORECAST ENGINE
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts and Rolling-Surprise economic predictions.
Expected Zones · 60/80/95% Bands · 1,400+ instruments
Economic Calendar - US Events
| Thursday, November 12, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13:30 | US | Initial Jobless Claims | 200 | 191 | 195 | 197.50 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1697 | 1717 | 1710 | 1703.50 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 195.25 | 195.25 | 192.5 | 193.88 | High |
| 15:00 | US | Existing Home Sales MoM | -5.5 | 1 | 0.3 | -2.60 | High |
| 15:00 | US | Existing Home Sales | 3.75 | 3.97 | 3.85 | 3.80 | High |
| 17:00 | US | EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change | 4.657 | -0.865 | -1.1 | 1.78 | Medium |
| 17:00 | US | EIA Distillate Stocks Change | 4.071 | -3.565 | -1 | 1.54 | Low |
| 17:00 | US | EIA Gasoline Stocks Change | 1.799 | -0.222 | -0.1 | 0.85 | Medium |
| 19:00 | US | Budget Balance | -404 | -27 | -298.6 | -351.30 | Medium |
| Friday, November 13, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 13:30 | US | PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade MoM | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Low | |
| 13:30 | US | Producer Price Index YoY | 6.3 | 6.6 | 6.60 | Low | |
| 13:30 | US | Core PPI MoM | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Medium | |
| 13:30 | US | Core PPI YoY | 5 | 5 | 5.00 | Low | |
| 13:30 | US | PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade YoY | 5 | 5 | 5.00 | Low | |
| 13:30 | US | Producer Price Index MoM | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.40 | High | |
| 13:30 | US | Producer Price Index | 159.78 | 160 | 160.00 | Low | |
| 15:30 | US | EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change | 77 | 66 | 66.00 | Low | |
| Monday, November 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 13:30 | US | NY Empire State Manufacturing Index | 25.5 | 10 | 14.80 | High | |
Editorial review: Neha Gupta, AnalystLinkedIn profile
Neha Gupta is a Chartered Financial Analyst with over 18 years of experience in finance and more than 11 years as a financial writer. She’s authored for clients worldwide, including platforms like MarketWatch, TipRanks, InsiderMonkey, and Seeking Alpha. Her work is known for its technical rigor, clear communication, and compliance-awareness—evident in her success enhancing market updates.