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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS Wholesale Prices YoY fell to 0.9% in January 2025
FMPMonthlyReleased February 2025
US Wholesale Prices YoY fell to 0.9% in January 2025, released February 2025, down 0.3% from December's 1.2% reading. The reading missed the 1.3% consensus by 0.4%.
Latest Release
0.900000
Actual
1.300000
Consensus
1.200000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Bullish Stocks | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Bearish Gold | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Wholesale Prices YoY (United States) was reported at 0.9% in January 2025. This missed the market consensus of 1.3% by 0.4%. The reading fell from the previous value of 1.2%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Jun 17) and Retail Sales MoM (Jun 17).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update February 2025.
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Wholesale Prices YoY - US
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About Wholesale Prices YoY — United States
DEFINITION
Wholesale Prices YoY is a financial indicator that measures the annual change in the prices of goods sold in bulk by manufacturers and wholesalers. It provides valuable insights into the overall inflationary pressures in the economy and is closely monitored by businesses, policymakers, and investors to make informed decisions. A positive YoY change indicates an increase in wholesale prices, while a negative change suggests a decrease. This indicator is an important tool for assessing the health of the economy and predicting future trends in consumer prices.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT'S NEXT
This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.