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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS 5-Year Bond Auction fell to 2.85% in January 2025
FMPMonthlyReleased February 2025
US 5-Year Bond Auction fell to 2.85% in January 2025, released February 2025, down 0.38% from December's 3.23% reading.
Latest Release
2.849000
Actual
—
Consensus
3.228000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Bullish Stocks | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Bearish Gold | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
5-Year Bond Auction (United States) was reported at 2.85% in January 2025. The reading fell from the previous value of 3.23%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Jun 17) and Retail Sales MoM (Jun 17).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update February 2025.
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5-Year Bond Auction - US
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About 5-Year Bond Auction — United States
DEFINITION
The 5-Year Bond Auction is a financial indicator that measures the demand for government bonds with a maturity of five years. It is a key event in the bond market, as it provides insight into investor sentiment and the government's ability to raise funds. The auction involves the sale of these bonds to the highest bidder, with the interest rate determined by market forces. This indicator is closely monitored by investors and analysts as it can impact interest rates, bond yields, and overall market conditions.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT'S NEXT
This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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