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US 118-Day Bill Auction held to 0.09 in October 2020, released November 2020.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
118-Day Bill Auction (United States) was reported at 0.09 in November 2020.
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
Same-country events in the next 14 days include OPEC Monthly Report (Sep 10) and Initial Jobless Claims (Sep 10).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update November 2020.
The 118-Day Bill Auction is a financial indicator that measures the demand for short-term government debt securities with a maturity of 118 days. This auction allows the government to raise funds by selling these bills to investors, providing insight into the current market sentiment and investor confidence in the economy. The results of the auction can also impact interest rates and serve as an indicator of overall economic stability.
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Nov 2020): actual 0.09.
This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Tuesday, September 8, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:00 | NFIB Business Optimism Index | 98.7 | 99.8 | 99.3 | 99.00 | Low | |
| 15:00 | Consumer Inflation Expectation | 3.6 | 3.6 | 3.6 | 3.60 | Low | |
| 15:30 | 3-Month Bill Auction | 3.8 | 3.77 | 3.7999 | 3.80 | Low | |
| 19:00 | Consumer Credit Change | 18.06 | 14.56 | 11.7 | 14.88 | Low | |
| Wednesday, September 9, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 21:00 | API Crude Oil Stock Change | -0.3 | -2.6 | -1.3 | -0.80 | Medium | |
| Thursday, September 10, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade YoY | 4.7 | 4.4 | 4.75 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Producer Price Index | 156.563 | 157 | 157.08 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Core PPI YoY | 4.2 | 4.6 | 4.35 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1779 | 1780 | 1787.50 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Initial Jobless Claims | 206 | 205 | 210.00 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Core PPI MoM | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.25 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Producer Price Index MoM | 0 | 0.4 | 0.60 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Producer Price Index YoY | 4.7 | 5.3 | 5.35 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade MoM | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.55 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 207.25 | 206 | 207.25 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | Existing Home Sales | 4.06 | 3.98 | 3.98 | High | ||
| 14:00 | Existing Home Sales MoM | -1.7 | -0.2 | -0.20 | Medium | ||