Friday, April 3, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 00:00 US 5-Year Breakeven Inflation 2.610000 2.570000 - - medium 00:00 US 10-Year Breakeven Inflation 2.360000 2.340000 - - medium 00:00 US 0.640000 0.640000 - - high 00:00 US 0.510000 0.510000 - - critical 00:00 US 51.400000 51.900000 51.400000 51.38 low 00:00 US 51.100000 51.700000 51.100000 51.07 low 00:00 US 16.300000 15.800000 15.000000 15.17 low Thursday, April 2, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 00:00 US 4.880000 4.880000 - - high 00:00 US 3.640000 3.640000 - - high 00:00 US High Yield Spread (ICE BofA) 3.170000 3.170000 - - high 00:00 US 3.790000 3.790000 - - critical 00:00 US 4.310000 4.310000 - - critical 00:00 US 5-Year Breakeven Inflation 2.570000 2.570000 - - medium 00:00 US 10-Year Breakeven Inflation 2.340000 2.340000 - - medium 00:00 US 6582.690000 6582.690000 - - medium 00:00 US 0.610000 0.630000 - - high 00:00 US 6.680000 6.660000 6.600000 NaN low 00:00 US Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count 411.000000 409.000000 420.000000 NaN low 00:00 US 6.460000 6.380000 - - low 00:00 US 5.770000 5.750000 - - low 00:00 US 1.600000 1.900000 1.900000 1.83 medium 00:00 US 3.620000 3.620000 - - low 00:00 US 3.620000 3.630000 - - low 00:00 US EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change 36.000000 -54.000000 34.000000 35.83 low 00:00 US 13.650000 13.080000 - - low 00:00 US 2.700000 2.680000 - - low 00:00 US -83.500000 -80.900000 -84.000000 -83.75 high 00:00 US Jobless Claims 4-Week Average 207.750000 210.750000 214.000000 213.08 high 00:00 US 314.800000 302.200000 304.000000 303.98 medium 00:00 US 372.100000 356.900000 364.000000 NaN medium 00:00 US Continuing Jobless Claims 1841.000000 1816.000000 1840.000000 1834.00 high 00:00 US 202.000000 211.000000 212.000000 NaN high 00:00 US -57.300000 -54.700000 -59.200000 -57.27 medium 00:00 US -83.500000 -80.900000 -84.000000 -83.75 medium 00:00 US 60.620000 48.307000 90.000000 87.10 low 00:00 US 0.520000 0.520000 - - critical Wednesday, April 1, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 00:00 US 5-Year Breakeven Inflation 2.550000 2.540000 - - medium 00:00 US 10-Year Breakeven Inflation 2.310000 2.300000 - - medium 00:00 US 6575.320000 6528.520000 - - medium 00:00 US Fed Total Assets (Balance Sheet) 6675344.000000 6675344.000000 - - high 00:00 US 24.540000 24.540000 - - high 00:00 US 0.630000 0.600000 - - high 00:00 US 4.910000 4.880000 - - high 00:00 US 3.640000 3.640000 - - high 00:00 US 3.615000 3.635000 - - low 00:00 US 1.900000 2.000000 2.000000 1.93 medium 00:00 US -0.209000 0.846000 - - low 00:00 US EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change 5.451000 6.926000 0.800000 3.58 medium 00:00 US EIA Heating Oil Stocks Change -0.809000 -0.241000 - - low 00:00 US EIA Refinery Crude Runs Change -0.219000 0.366000 - - low 00:00 US EIA Crude Oil Imports Change -0.209000 0.846000 - - low 00:00 US EIA Distillate Fuel Production Change 0.000000 0.157000 - - low 00:00 US EIA Gasoline Production Change -0.152000 0.309000 - - low 00:00 US EIA Cushing Crude Oil Stocks Change 0.520000 3.421000 - - low 00:00 US EIA Distillate Stocks Change -2.111000 3.032000 -0.600000 -0.10 low 00:00 US EIA Gasoline Stocks Change -0.585000 -2.593000 -1.900000 -0.93 medium 00:00 US EIA Weekly Refinery Utilization Rates WoW -0.800000 1.500000 - - low 00:00 US -0.209000 0.846000 - - low 00:00 US Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM 0.300000 0.400000 0.300000 0.40 low 00:00 US -0.100000 0.000000 0.100000 0.07 medium 00:00 US ISM Manufacturing New Orders 53.500000 55.800000 55.000000 56.37 low 00:00 US 78.300000 70.500000 73.000000 73.65 low 00:00 US 52.700000 52.400000 52.500000 53.20 high 00:00 US ISM Manufacturing Employment 48.700000 48.800000 48.600000 49.30 medium 00:00 US S&P Global Manufacturing PMI 52.300000 51.600000 52.400000 52.50 low 00:00 US Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM 0.500000 0.000000 0.300000 0.38 high 00:00 US 3.700000 3.200000 2.900000 3.17 high 00:00 US 0.500000 0.200000 0.300000 0.40 high 00:00 US Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM 0.400000 0.200000 0.200000 0.33 high 00:00 US 62.000000 66.000000 40.000000 40.50 high 00:00 US MBA Mortgage Market Index 278.300000 310.700000 - - low 00:00 US MBA Mortgage Applications -10.400000 -10.500000 - - low 00:00 US MBA Mortgage Refinance Index 946.400000 1145.000000 - - low 00:00 US MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate 6.570000 6.430000 - - medium 00:00 US 159.400000 163.600000 - - low 00:00 US High Yield Spread (ICE BofA) 3.160000 3.280000 - - high 00:00 US 0.520000 0.510000 - - critical 00:00 US World Crude Oil Consumption Forecast 104.382976 103.696894 - - high 00:00 US World Crude Oil Production Forecast 104.475189 101.816860 - - high 00:00 US 3.810000 3.790000 - - critical 00:00 US 4.330000 4.300000 - - critical Tuesday, March 31, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 00:00 US 5-Year Breakeven Inflation 2.540000 2.570000 - - medium 00:00 US 10-Year Breakeven Inflation 2.300000 2.310000 - - medium 00:00 US 6528.520000 6343.720000 - - medium 00:00 US 25.250000 30.610000 - - high 00:00 US 0.600000 0.640000 - - high 00:00 US 4.880000 4.910000 - - high 00:00 US 3.640000 3.640000 - - high 00:00 US API Crude Oil Stock Change 10.263000 2.300000 -1.300000 2.44 medium 00:00 US Quarterly Grain Stocks - Wheat 1.300000 1.680000 1.310000 1.31 low 00:00 US Quarterly Grain Stocks - Corn 9.020000 13.280000 9.140000 9.16 low 00:00 US Quarterly Grain Stocks - Soy 2.100000 3.290000 2.100000 2.10 low 00:00 US Dallas Fed Services Index -13.300000 -3.200000 -1.000000 -7.15 low 00:00 US Dallas Fed Services Revenues Index 1.300000 4.100000 4.000000 2.65 low 00:00 US 2.974000 3.131000 3.000000 3.04 low 00:00 US 6.882000 7.240000 6.920000 6.76 high 00:00 US 91.800000 91.000000 88.000000 87.42 medium 00:00 US 52.800000 57.700000 55.000000 56.70 medium 00:00 US 1.600000 1.900000 -0.200000 0.48 low 00:00 US 0.100000 0.300000 0.100000 0.17 low 00:00 US 441.000000 440.700000 436.000000 437.57 low 00:00 US S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price YoY 1.200000 1.400000 1.300000 1.32 medium 00:00 US S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price MoM -0.100000 -0.100000 -0.200000 -0.13 low 00:00 US 6.900000 6.700000 - - low 00:00 US High Yield Spread (ICE BofA) 3.280000 3.460000 - - high 00:00 US 0.510000 0.530000 - - critical 00:00 US 3.790000 3.820000 - - critical 00:00 US 4.300000 4.350000 - - critical Monday, March 30, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 00:00 US 5-Year Breakeven Inflation 2.570000 2.560000 - - medium 00:00 US 10-Year Breakeven Inflation 2.310000 2.310000 - - medium 00:00 US 6343.720000 6368.850000 - - medium 00:00 US 3.990000 3.990000 - - medium 00:00 US 30.610000 31.050000 - - high 00:00 US 0.640000 0.710000 - - high 00:00 US 4.910000 4.980000 - - high 00:00 US 3.640000 3.640000 - - high 00:00 US 104.690000 104.690000 - - high 00:00 US 121.880000 121.880000 - - high 00:00 US 3.620000 3.635000 - - low 00:00 US 3.605000 3.630000 - - low 00:00 US Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index -0.200000 0.200000 0.700000 0.25 medium 00:00 US High Yield Spread (ICE BofA) 3.460000 3.420000 - - high 00:00 US 0.530000 0.560000 - - critical 00:00 US 3.820000 3.880000 - - critical 00:00 US 4.350000 4.440000 - - critical Sunday, March 29, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 00:00 US 3.640000 3.640000 - - high Saturday, March 28, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 00:00 US 3.640000 3.640000 - - high 00:00 US 202000.000000 202000.000000 - - critical Friday, March 27, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 00:00 US Trade Weighted US Dollar Index (Broad) 120.885100 120.885100 - - high 00:00 US 5-Year Breakeven Inflation 2.560000 2.560000 - - medium 00:00 US 10-Year Breakeven Inflation 2.310000 2.340000 - - medium 00:00 US 6368.850000 6477.160000 - - medium 00:00 US 1.152000 1.152000 - - medium 00:00 US 160.160000 160.160000 - - medium 00:00 US 31.050000 27.440000 - - high 00:00 US 0.710000 0.690000 - - high 00:00 US St Louis Fed Financial Stress Index -0.182800 -0.182800 - - high 00:00 US Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions -0.433660 -0.433660 - - high 00:00 US 4.980000 4.930000 - - high 00:00 US 3.640000 3.640000 - - high 00:00 US 101.260000 96.180000 - - high 00:00 US 121.470000 113.390000 - - high 00:00 US CFTC Copper Speculative net positions 37.500000 48.000000 - - low 00:00 US CFTC Crude Oil speculative net positions 233.600000 218.700000 - - medium 00:00 US CFTC Corn speculative net positions 375.400000 312.300000 - - low 00:00 US CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions -80.900000 -113.100000 - - medium 00:00 US CFTC Aluminium Speculative net positions -0.700000 -0.700000 - - low 00:00 US CFTC Gold Speculative net positions 168.300000 159.900000 - - medium 00:00 US CFTC Silver Speculative net positions 24.700000 21.900000 - - low 00:00 US CFTC Soybeans speculative net positions 215.200000 221.100000 - - low 00:00 US CFTC Wheat speculative net positions -17.100000 -25.700000 - - low 00:00 US CFTC Nasdaq 100 speculative net positions 6.600000 24.100000 - - medium 00:00 US CFTC Natural Gas speculative net positions -172.600000 -178.000000 - - low 00:00 US Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count 409.000000 414.000000 - - low 00:00 US 3.200000 3.300000 3.200000 3.23 medium 00:00 US Michigan Consumer Sentiment 53.300000 56.600000 54.000000 54.68 high 00:00 US Michigan Consumer Expectations 51.700000 56.600000 54.000000 54.02 low 00:00 US Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations 3.200000 3.300000 3.200000 3.27 low 00:00 US Michigan Inflation Expectations 3.800000 3.400000 3.400000 3.38 low 00:00 US Michigan Current Conditions 55.800000 56.600000 55.800000 57.00 low 00:00 US High Yield Spread (ICE BofA) 3.420000 3.210000 - - high 00:00 US 0.560000 0.460000 - - critical 00:00 US 6454.000000 6464.000000 - - medium 00:00 US Crude Oil Refinery Inputs 13657.000000 13657.000000 - - medium 00:00 US Total Motor Gasoline Stocks 240861.000000 241447.000000 - - high 00:00 US Distillate Fuel Oil Stocks 117825.000000 119936.000000 - - high 00:00 US 3.880000 3.960000 - - critical 00:00 US 4.440000 4.420000 - - critical Thursday, March 26, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 00:00 US Trade Weighted US Dollar Index (Broad) 120.389000 120.128200 - - high 00:00 US 5-Year Breakeven Inflation 2.560000 2.510000 - - medium 00:00 US 10-Year Breakeven Inflation 2.340000 2.310000 - - medium 00:00 US 6477.160000 6591.900000 - - medium 00:00 US 1.154200 1.157000 - - medium 00:00 US 159.650000 159.200000 - - medium 00:00 US 27.440000 25.330000 - - high 00:00 US 0.690000 0.600000 - - high 00:00 US 4.930000 4.890000 - - high 00:00 US 3.640000 3.640000 - - high 00:00 US 96.180000 91.510000 - - high 00:00 US 113.390000 109.140000 - - high 00:00 US 6.660000 6.660000 - - low 00:00 US 4.255000 3.790000 - - low 00:00 US 5.750000 5.540000 - - low 00:00 US 6.380000 6.220000 - - low 00:00 US 3.620000 3.615000 - - low 00:00 US 3.630000 3.635000 - - low 00:00 US Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index 11.000000 10.000000 2.000000 6.50 low 00:00 US Kansas Fed Composite Index 11.000000 5.000000 3.000000 7.00 low 00:00 US EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change -54.000000 35.000000 -44.000000 -42.17 low 00:00 US Jobless Claims 4-Week Average 210.500000 210.750000 212.000000 211.08 high 00:00 US 210.000000 205.000000 210.000000 NaN high 00:00 US Continuing Jobless Claims 1819.000000 1851.000000 1850.000000 1844.00 high 00:00 US High Yield Spread (ICE BofA) 3.210000 3.170000 - - high 00:00 US 0.460000 0.490000 - - critical 00:00 US 3.960000 3.840000 - - critical 00:00 US 4.420000 4.330000 - - critical Wednesday, March 25, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 00:00 US Trade Weighted US Dollar Index (Broad) 120.128200 120.129500 - - high 00:00 US 5-Year Breakeven Inflation 2.510000 2.550000 - - medium 00:00 US 10-Year Breakeven Inflation 2.310000 2.330000 - - medium 00:00 US 6591.900000 6556.370000 - - medium 00:00 US 1.157000 1.157800 - - medium 00:00 US 159.200000 158.900000 - - medium 00:00 US Fed Total Assets (Balance Sheet) 6657161.000000 6655939.000000 - - high 00:00 US 25.330000 26.950000 - - high 00:00 US 0.600000 0.650000 - - high 00:00 US 4.890000 4.940000 - - high 00:00 US 3.640000 3.640000 - - high 00:00 US 91.510000 93.180000 - - high 00:00 US 109.140000 108.420000 - - high 00:00 US 3.980000 3.615000 - - low 00:00 US 3.635000 3.610000 - - low 00:00 US 0.115000 0.099000 - - low 00:00 US EIA Heating Oil Stocks Change -0.241000 -0.081000 - - low 00:00 US EIA Cushing Crude Oil Stocks Change 3.421000 0.944000 - - low 00:00 US EIA Gasoline Stocks Change -2.593000 -5.436000 -2.100000 -1.13 medium 00:00 US EIA Crude Oil Imports Change 0.846000 -0.692000 - - low 00:00 US EIA Refinery Crude Runs Change 0.366000 0.063000 - - low 00:00 US EIA Gasoline Production Change 0.309000 -0.462000 - - low 00:00 US EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change 6.926000 6.156000 0.500000 3.28 medium 00:00 US EIA Distillate Fuel Production Change 0.157000 -0.075000 - - low 00:00 US EIA Distillate Stocks Change 3.032000 -2.527000 -1.300000 -0.80 low 00:00 US 0.846000 -0.692000 - - low 00:00 US EIA Weekly Refinery Utilization Rates WoW 1.500000 0.600000 - - low 00:00 US -190.700000 -239.100000 -211.000000 -202.93 medium 00:00 US 1.300000 0.300000 0.300000 0.38 low 00:00 US 1.500000 0.600000 0.500000 1.00 medium 00:00 US 3.500000 2.600000 2.200000 2.85 low 00:00 US 1.300000 0.600000 0.500000 0.68 medium 00:00 US 163.600000 172.900000 - - low 00:00 US MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate 6.430000 6.300000 - - medium 00:00 US MBA Mortgage Refinance Index 1145.000000 1341.000000 - - low 00:00 US MBA Mortgage Applications -10.500000 -10.900000 - - low 00:00 US MBA Mortgage Market Index 310.700000 347.100000 - - low 00:00 US High Yield Spread (ICE BofA) 3.170000 3.190000 - - high 00:00 US 0.490000 0.490000 - - critical 00:00 US 3.840000 3.900000 - - critical 00:00 US 4.330000 4.390000 - - critical Tuesday, March 24, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 00:00 US Trade Weighted US Dollar Index (Broad) 120.129500 119.937100 - - high 00:00 US 5-Year Breakeven Inflation 2.550000 2.530000 - - medium 00:00 US 10-Year Breakeven Inflation 2.330000 2.330000 - - medium 00:00 US 6556.370000 6581.000000 - - medium 00:00 US 1.157800 1.158700 - - medium 00:00 US 158.900000 158.700000 - - medium 00:00 US 26.950000 26.150000 - - high 00:00 US 0.650000 0.600000 - - high 00:00 US 4.940000 4.910000 - - high 00:00 US 3.640000 3.640000 - - high 00:00 US 93.180000 89.330000 - - high 00:00 US 108.420000 103.790000 - - high 00:00 US API Crude Oil Stock Change 2.300000 6.600000 -1.300000 2.44 medium Tuesday, February 10, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 13:30 US Employment Cost Index QoQ 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.70 Medium 13:30 US 0 0.1 0.2 0.28 Low 13:30 US 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.48 Medium 13:30 US Employment Cost - Wages QoQ 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.75 Medium 11:00 US NFIB Business Optimism Index 99.3 99.5 99.8 99.67 Low Monday, February 9, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 16:00 US Consumer Inflation Expectation 3.1 3.4 3.4 3.38 Low Friday, February 6, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 20:00 US 24.05 4.7 9 11.29 Medium 15:00 US Michigan Consumer Expectations 56.6 57 55 55.02 Low 15:00 US Michigan Consumer Sentiment 57.3 56.4 53 53.68 High 15:00 US Michigan Current Conditions 58.3 55.4 53 54.20 Low 15:00 US Michigan Inflation Expectations 3.5 4 4 3.98 Low 15:00 US Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations 3.4 3.3 3.3 3.37 Low 15:00 US 3.4 3.3 3.3 3.33 Medium 13:30 US - 50 40 35.00 High 13:30 US - 34.2 34.2 34.15 Low 13:30 US - 4.4 4.5 4.45 High 13:30 US - 37 32 18.50 Low 13:30 US Average Hourly Earnings MoM - 0.3 0.3 0.30 Medium 13:30 US - -8 -10 -11.50 Low 13:30 US - 62.4 62.3 62.20 Medium 13:30 US Average Hourly Earnings YoY - 3.8 3.8 3.90 Medium 13:30 US - 8.4 8.5 8.30 Low 13:30 US - 13 8 19.50 Low Thursday, February 5, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 15:00 US 6.542 6.928 7 6.84 High 13:30 US 231 209 214 NaN Medium 13:30 US Jobless Claims 4-Week Average 212.25 206.25 210 209.08 Low 12:30 US 108.435 35.553 43 40.10 Low Wednesday, February 4, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 19:00 US - 16 15.5 15.67 Low 15:00 US ISM Non-Manufacturing Employment 50.3 51.7 52.3 52.55 Medium 15:00 US ISM Non-Manufacturing New Orders 53.1 56.5 55 55.85 Low 15:00 US ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI 53.8 53.8 53.5 54.13 High 15:00 US ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices 66.6 65.1 65 65.25 High 14:45 US 52.7 52.5 52.5 52.47 Low 14:45 US 53 52.7 52.8 52.78 Low 13:30 US 14.9 16 15.5 15.67 Low 13:15 US 22 37 35 35.50 Medium Tuesday, February 3, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 15:10 US RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism Index 48.8 47.2 47 46.97 Low 15:10 US IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism 48.8 47.2 47.9 47.88 Low 15:00 US - 7.146 7 6.84 High 15:00 US - 3.161 3.15 3.19 Low Monday, February 2, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 16:30 US - 4.2 4.2 4.13 Medium 16:10 US 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.13 Medium 16:00 US 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.13 Medium 15:00 US ISM Manufacturing New Orders 57.1 47.4 47.9 49.27 Low 15:00 US ISM Manufacturing Employment 48.1 44.8 44.8 45.50 Medium 15:00 US 59 58.5 59.9 60.55 Low 15:00 US 52.6 47.9 48.2 48.90 High 14:45 US S&P Global Manufacturing PMI 52.4 51.8 51.9 52.00 Low Friday, January 30, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 14:45 US 54 42.7 45 46.70 Medium 13:30 US 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.35 High 13:30 US 3.3 3.1 3 3.15 Low 13:30 US 3 3 2.9 2.95 Low 13:30 US PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade MoM 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.35 Low 13:30 US PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade YoY 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.63 Low 13:30 US 0.7 0 0.1 0.28 Medium Thursday, January 29, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 17:00 US - 5.4 5.4 5.33 Medium 16:30 US 4.2 5.4 5.4 5.33 Medium 15:00 US 2.7 -0.1 1.4 1.70 Medium 15:00 US Wholesale Inventories MoM 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.13 Low 13:30 US -56.8 -29.2 -37 -35.07 Medium 13:30 US 292.1 303 303 302.98 Medium 13:30 US 4.9 4.1 4.9 5.38 Low 13:30 US 348.9 332.1 340 NaN Medium 13:30 US -1.9 -2.9 -1.9 -2.63 Low Wednesday, January 28, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 19:00 US Fed Interest Rate Decision 3.75 3.75 3.75 3.75 High Tuesday, January 27, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 15:00 US Richmond Fed Services Revenues Index -3 -6 -2 -2.50 Low 15:00 US Richmond Fed Manufacturing Shipments Index -5 -11 -6 -5.50 Low 15:00 US Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index -6 -7 -3 -4.50 Low 15:00 US 84.5 94.2 90.6 90.02 High 14:00 US S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price YoY 1.4 1.3 1.2 1.22 Medium 14:00 US S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price MoM 0 -0.3 -0.2 -0.13 Low 14:00 US 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.38 Low 14:00 US 439.3 436.8 438 439.57 Low 14:00 US 1.9 1.8 1 1.68 Low Monday, January 26, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 15:00 US 5.4 5.4 5.4 5.33 Medium 13:30 US 5.3 -2.1 1.1 3.20 High 13:30 US Chicago Fed National Activity Index -0.04 -0.42 -0.4 -0.22 Medium Friday, January 23, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 15:00 US - 3.4 3.4 3.43 Medium 15:00 US Michigan Inflation Expectations - 4.2 4.2 4.18 Low 15:00 US Michigan Current Conditions - 50.4 52.4 53.60 Low 15:00 US Michigan Consumer Sentiment - 52.9 54 54.68 High 15:00 US Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations - 3.2 3.4 3.47 Low 15:00 US Michigan Consumer Expectations - 54.6 55 55.02 Low 14:45 US S&P Global Services PMI Flash - 52.5 52.3 52.30 Medium 14:45 US S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Flash - 51.8 52 52.00 Medium 14:45 US S&P Global Composite PMI Flash - 52.7 52.8 52.80 Medium 14:45 US - 52.5 52.8 52.77 High 14:45 US S&P Global Manufacturing PMI - 51.8 52.1 52.20 High Thursday, January 22, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 16:00 US Kansas Fed Composite Index - 1 4 8.00 Low 16:00 US Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index - -3 5 9.50 Low 15:00 US - 2.8 2.8 2.80 High 15:00 US - 0.4 0.4 0.40 High 15:00 US - 0.2 0.1 0.10 High 15:00 US - 0.3 0.2 0.20 Medium 15:00 US - 0.2 0.1 0.10 High 15:00 US - 2.8 2.7 2.70 Medium 13:30 US - 2.1 3.7 3.70 Medium 13:30 US - 2.6 2.9 2.90 Low 13:30 US - 2.1 2.8 2.80 Low 13:30 US - 0.2 4.4 4.40 Low 13:30 US - 198 195 NaN High 13:30 US Continuing Jobless Claims - 1884 1880 1874.00 High 13:30 US Real Consumer Spending QoQ - 2.5 3.5 3.50 Low 13:30 US Jobless Claims 4-Week Average - 205 203 202.08 High 13:30 US - 7.5 4.6 4.60 Low 13:30 US - 3.8 4.3 4.30 High 13:30 US - 2.5 3.5 3.50 Low 13:30 US Gross Domestic Product QoQ - 3.8 4.3 4.30 High 13:30 US - 2.8 2.8 2.80 Low 13:30 US - 2.8 2.8 2.80 Low 13:30 US - 2.8 2.8 2.80 Medium 13:30 US - 2.8 2.8 2.80 Medium 13:30 US - 0.3 0.2 0.20 High 13:30 US - 0.4 0.3 0.30 High 13:30 US - 0.2 0.1 0.10 High 13:30 US - 0.3 0.2 0.20 Medium Wednesday, January 21, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 17:00 US - 5.3 5.3 5.23 Medium 15:00 US - 3.3 1.4 1.40 Medium 15:00 US - 2.6 0.2 0.20 Medium 15:00 US Construction Spending MoM - 0.2 -0.1 -0.10 Low Friday, January 16, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 15:00 US Michigan Inflation Expectations - 4.2 4.2 4.18 Low 15:00 US Michigan Consumer Sentiment - 52.9 54 54.68 High 15:00 US Michigan Current Conditions - 50.4 52.4 53.60 Low 15:00 US Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations - 3.2 3.4 3.47 Low 15:00 US NAHB Housing Market Index 37 39 40 38.50 Medium 15:00 US Michigan Consumer Expectations - 54.6 55 55.02 Low 14:15 US Industrial Production YoY 2 2.5 2.7 2.35 Low 14:15 US 76.3 76 76 76.15 Low 14:15 US Manufacturing Production MoM 0.2 0.3 -0.2 0.00 Low 14:15 US Manufacturing Production YoY 2 1.9 2 2.00 Low 14:15 US Industrial Production MoM 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.25 Medium Thursday, January 15, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 15:30 US EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change -71 -119 -90 -88.17 Low 13:30 US 198 207 215 NaN High 13:30 US 0.4 0 -0.1 0.08 Medium 13:30 US 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.48 Low 13:30 US - 0.3 0.5 0.58 Low 13:30 US - 0 0.1 0.28 Medium 13:30 US - 3.8 3 3.65 Low 13:30 US - 3.8 3 3.65 Low 13:30 US Continuing Jobless Claims 1884 1903 1890 1884.00 High 13:30 US NY Empire State Manufacturing Index 7.7 -3.7 1 4.35 High 13:30 US - 0 -0.1 0.40 Medium 13:30 US Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index 12.6 -8.8 -2 5.30 Medium 13:30 US Jobless Claims 4-Week Average 205 211.5 215 214.08 High Wednesday, January 14, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 17:30 US 5.3 5.1 5.1 5.03 Medium 17:00 US - 5.1 5.1 5.03 Medium 15:30 US EIA Distillate Stocks Change -0.029 5.594 -0.2 0.30 Low 15:30 US EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change 3.391 -3.831 -2.2 0.58 Medium 15:30 US EIA Gasoline Stocks Change 8.977 7.702 4 4.97 Medium 15:10 US RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism Index - 47.9 47.4 47.37 Low 15:00 US 4.35 4.14 4.21 4.28 High 15:00 US 5.1 0.7 -1.6 1.75 High 15:00 US 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.17 Medium 15:00 US Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM 0.3 0.1 -0.1 0.00 Low 13:30 US PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade YoY 3.4 3 2.9 3.02 Low 13:30 US 3 2.9 2.7 2.85 Low 13:30 US - 0.3 0.4 0.55 High 13:30 US PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade MoM - 0.1 0.2 0.25 Low 13:30 US 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.38 Medium 13:30 US - 2.6 2.7 2.85 Low 13:30 US - 2.7 2.7 2.75 Low 13:30 US -226.4 -249.2 -238.4 -230.32 Medium 13:30 US Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM 0.5 0.2 0.4 0.48 High 13:30 US 3.3 3.3 3 3.27 High 13:30 US 0.6 -0.1 0.4 0.50 High 13:30 US Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.23 High Tuesday, January 13, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 21:30 US API Crude Oil Stock Change 5.27 -2.8 -2 1.74 Medium 19:00 US -145 -173 -150 -147.50 Medium 19:00 US -145 -173 -144.5 -144.75 Medium 15:10 US RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism Index 47.2 47.9 48.2 48.17 Low 15:10 US IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism 47.2 47.9 48.2 48.18 Low 15:00 US - 800 710 710.00 High 15:00 US - 0.8 0.69 0.69 Medium 15:00 US RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism Index 47.2 47.9 48.2 48.17 Low 13:30 US 2.6 2.6 2.7 2.65 High 13:30 US 324.05 324.12 323.8 323.93 High 13:30 US 326.03 325.031 325.7 325.87 High 13:30 US 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.70 High 13:30 US 1.411 1.415 1.412 2.81 Low 11:00 US NFIB Business Optimism Index 99.5 99 99.5 99.38 Low Monday, January 12, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 17:00 US Quarterly Grain Stocks - Corn 13.28 1.55 13.1 13.11 Low 17:00 US Quarterly Grain Stocks - Wheat 1.68 2.13 1.65 1.65 Low 17:00 US Quarterly Grain Stocks - Soy 3.29 0.32 3.28 3.28 Low Friday, January 9, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 16:30 US 5.1 5.4 5.4 5.33 Medium 15:30 US - 5.4 5.4 5.33 Medium 15:00 US Michigan Consumer Sentiment 54 52.9 53.5 54.18 High 15:00 US Michigan Current Conditions 52.4 50.4 50.5 51.70 Low 15:00 US Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations 3.4 3.2 3.1 3.17 Low 15:00 US Michigan Inflation Expectations 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.18 Low 15:00 US Michigan Consumer Expectations 55 54.6 54.2 54.22 Low 15:00 US 3.4 3.2 3.3 3.33 Medium 13:30 US Average Hourly Earnings YoY 3.8 3.6 3.6 3.70 Medium 13:30 US 8.4 8.7 8.8 8.60 High 13:30 US 1.246 1.306 1.33 1.29 High 13:30 US -4.6 1.2 0.8 -1.90 Medium 13:30 US 6.4 -2.3 0.8 2.20 Medium 13:30 US 13 6 -10 1.50 Low 13:30 US 4.4 4.5 4.5 4.45 High 13:30 US -8 -2 -5 -6.50 Low 13:30 US 37 50 64 50.50 High 13:30 US 62.4 62.5 62.6 62.50 Medium 13:30 US 50 56 60 55.00 High 13:30 US Average Hourly Earnings MoM 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.30 Medium 13:30 US 34.2 34.3 34.3 34.25 Low Thursday, January 8, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 20:00 US 4.23 9.24 10 7.12 Low 20:00 US 4.23 9.24 10.1 12.39 Medium 17:00 US 5.4 2.7 2.7 2.63 Medium 16:00 US Consumer Inflation Expectation 3.4 3.2 3.2 3.18 Low 15:30 US EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change -119 -38 -114 -112.17 Low 15:00 US Wholesale Inventories MoM 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.23 Low 13:30 US 4.9 4.1 3 3.48 Medium 13:30 US 208 200 210 NaN High 13:30 US Continuing Jobless Claims 1914 1858 1900 1894.00 High 13:30 US Jobless Claims 4-Week Average 211.75 219 210.75 209.83 High 13:30 US -1.9 -2.9 1 0.28 Medium 13:30 US -29.4 -48.1 -58.9 -56.97 Medium 12:30 US 35.553 71.321 89 86.10 Low 10:30 US 35.553 71.321 89 86.10 Low Wednesday, January 7, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 15:30 US EIA Gasoline Stocks Change 7.702 5.845 2.9 3.87 Medium 15:30 US EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change -3.831 -1.934 1.1 3.88 Medium 15:30 US EIA Distillate Stocks Change 5.594 4.977 2.2 2.70 Low 15:00 US 7.146 7.449 7.6 7.44 High 15:00 US Factory Orders ex Transportation -0.2 0.1 -0.3 -0.25 Low 15:00 US -1.3 0.2 -1.2 -0.90 Medium 15:00 US 3.161 2.973 2.99 3.03 Low 15:00 US ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI 54.4 52.6 52.2 52.83 High 15:00 US ISM Non-Manufacturing New Orders 57.9 52.9 52.6 53.45 Low 15:00 US ISM Non-Manufacturing Employment 52 48.9 49 49.25 Medium 15:00 US ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices 64.3 65.4 64.9 65.15 High 15:00 US 54.4 52.6 52.3 53.35 High 15:00 US ISM Services Business Activity 56 54.5 54 55.00 Low 15:00 US 57.9 52.9 52.2 55.05 Low 15:00 US 52 48.9 48.7 50.35 Low 15:00 US 64.3 65.4 65.5 64.90 Low 15:00 US Durable Goods Orders Ex Defense MoM -1.5 -1.5 -1.5 -1.50 Low 13:15 US 41 -29 47 47.50 High Tuesday, January 6, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 21:30 US API Crude Oil Stock Change -2.8 1.7 1.2 4.94 Medium 14:45 US 52.7 54.2 53 52.98 Low 14:45 US 52.5 54.1 52.9 52.87 Low Monday, January 5, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 19:00 US 16 15.6 15.7 15.87 Low 17:00 US 2.7 3 3 2.93 Medium 15:00 US ISM Services Business Activity - 54.5 54 55.00 Low 15:00 US - 65.4 65.5 64.90 Low 15:00 US - 48.9 48.7 50.35 Low 15:00 US - 52.9 52.2 55.05 Low 15:00 US - 52.6 52 53.05 High 15:00 US ISM Manufacturing Employment 44.9 44 44.1 44.80 Medium 15:00 US ISM Manufacturing New Orders 47.7 47.4 47.2 48.57 Low 15:00 US 58.5 58.5 59 59.65 Low 15:00 US 47.9 48.2 48.3 49.00 High 