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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS House Price Index YoY fell to 1.7 in February 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased April 2026
US House Price Index YoY fell to 1.7 in February 2026, released April 2026, down 0.1 from January's 1.8 reading. The print exceeded the 1.6 consensus by 0.1. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 2.44. Over the past 3 months, House Price Index YoY averaged 1.7, vs 1.77 in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 10th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
1.7
Actual
1.6
Consensus
1.8
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.34 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Mar 2026
Predicted: 0.02
Actual: 1.6
Error: -1.58
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AUD/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Bearish AUD | → View |
| NZD/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Bearish NZD | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.43 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.42 | FOREX | Bearish GBP | → View |
| USD/CAD | ▲ Direct | +0.31 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
The April 2026 reading fell from the previous value of 1.8. Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmanomics model has produced a median absolute forecast error of ±0.34. Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with AUD/USD (Bearish AUD) and negatively correlated with NZD/USD (Bearish NZD).
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House Price Index YoY - US
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