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Data from U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS CPI MoM fell to 0.5% in May 2026
U.S. Bureau of Labor StatisticsMonthlyReleased June 2026
US CPI MoM fell to 0.5% in May 2026, released June 2026, down 0.1% from April's 0.6% reading. The reading matched expectations. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 0.4%.
Latest Release
0.5
Actual
0.5
Consensus
0.6
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Watch | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
CPI MoM (United States) was reported at 0.5% in June 2026. This matched the market consensus of 0.5% exactly. The reading fell from the previous value of 0.6%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. This is classified as a high-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for July 14, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Fed Barkin Speech (Jun 28) and Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index (Jun 29).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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CPI MoM - US
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About CPI MoM — United States
DEFINITION
US CPI MoM for June came in at 0.20%, missing the 0.30% estimate and down from May’s 0.40%. Inflation growth slowed notably from May to June, indicating a deceleration in price increases. Market focus will remain on upcoming Fed communications and further inflation data for guidance. Updated 6/10/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. Surprises against consensus typically move rates and currencies on release. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 0.2 %, consensus 0.3 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 0.4 %. Before that (Mar 2026): 0.9 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print. Current dynamics are the primary neutral force in the projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - US Events
| Tuesday, June 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13:45 | US | Chicago PMI | 62.7 | 50 | 48.90 | Medium | |