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US Prospective Plantings - Wheat fell to 47.5M in March 2024, down 2.36M from February's 49.86M reading. The reading matched the 47.33M consensus.
across last 4 releases
Mar 2024
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
Prospective Plantings - Wheat (United States) was reported at 47.50 million in March 2024. This beat the market consensus of 47.33 million by 0.17 million. The reading fell from the previous value of 49.86 million.
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
Same-country events in the next 14 days include OPEC Meeting (Aug 2) and ISM Manufacturing PMI (Aug 3).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update March 2024.
Prospective Plantings - Wheat is a key financial indicator that provides insight into the expected supply and demand of wheat in the upcoming growing season. It is a report released by the United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) that outlines the estimated acreage that farmers intend to plant with wheat crops. This information is crucial for investors, traders, and farmers as it can impact wheat prices and market trends. By analyzing the prospective plantings data, stakeholders can make informed decisions about their investments and production plans.
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Mar 2024): actual 47.5 M, consensus 47.33 M. Prior reading (Mar 2023): 49.9 M. Before that (Mar 2022): 47.35 M.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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| Thursday, July 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | Personal Income MoM | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.25 | High | |
| 12:30 | PCE Price Index MoM | -0.1 | 0.5 | -0.1 | -0.10 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | PCE Prices QoQ | 5.1 | 4.6 | 4 | 4.55 | Low | |
| 12:30 | Initial Jobless Claims | 197 | 188 | 200 | 198.50 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | Real Consumer Spending QoQ | 3.2 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 1.80 | Low | |
| 12:30 | PCE Price Index YoY | 3.7 | 4.1 | 3.7 | 3.70 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 1.5 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 1.80 | High | |
| 12:30 | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1782 | 1789 | 1800 | 1791.00 | Low | |
| 12:30 | Gross Domestic Product QoQ | 1.5 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 1.80 | High | |
| 12:30 | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 202.75 | 207.75 | 210 | 206.38 | Low | |
| 12:30 | Core PCE Price Index MoM | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.15 | High | |
| 12:30 | GDP Sales QoQ | 2.2 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 1.80 | Low | |
| 12:30 | Core PCE Price Index YoY | 3.3 | 3.4 | 3.3 | 3.30 | Low | |
| 12:30 | Core PCE Prices QoQ | 3.4 | 4.4 | 3.5 | 3.45 | Low | |
| 12:30 | GDP Price Index QoQ | 6.3 | 3.6 | 3.6 | 4.95 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | Personal Spending MoM | 0.3 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.30 | High | |
| 14:30 | EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change | 28 | 32 | 35 | 31.50 | Low | |