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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS WPI Fuel YoY climbed to -2.78% in January 2025
FMPMonthlyReleased February 2025
US WPI Fuel YoY climbed to -2.78% in January 2025, released February 2025, up 1.01% from December's -3.79% reading. The print exceeded the -3.5% consensus by 0.72%.
Latest Release
-2.780000
Actual
-3.500000
Consensus
-3.790000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Bullish Stocks | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Bearish Gold | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
WPI Fuel YoY (United States) was reported at -2.78% in January 2025. This beat the market consensus of -3.5% by 0.72%. The reading rose from the previous value of -3.79%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Jun 17) and Retail Sales MoM (Jun 17).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update February 2025.
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WPI Fuel YoY - US
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About WPI Fuel YoY — United States
DEFINITION
WPI Fuel YoY stands for Wholesale Price Index Fuel Year-over-Year and is a financial indicator that measures the change in the average price of fuel at the wholesale level over a 12-month period. It is used by economists and investors to track inflation and gauge the overall health of the economy. A higher WPI Fuel YoY indicates an increase in fuel prices, which can have a ripple effect on consumer prices and impact the cost of goods and services. This indicator is an important tool for businesses and policymakers to make informed decisions about pricing and economic policies.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT'S NEXT
This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.