Loading page content
Loading page content
US 10-Year KTB Auction held to 2.84% in January 2025, released February 2025.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Bullish Stocks | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Bearish Gold | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
10-Year KTB Auction (United States) was reported at 2.84% in January 2025. The reading was unchanged from the previous release.
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Jun 25) and Durable Goods Orders MoM (Jun 25).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update February 2025.
The 10-Year KTB Auction is a financial indicator that measures the demand for 10-year government bonds in Thailand. It is conducted by the Bank of Thailand and provides insight into the country's economic stability and investor confidence. The results of the auction can impact interest rates and the overall performance of the bond market, making it an important indicator for investors and policymakers.
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Tuesday, June 23, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13:45 | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 55.7 | 55.1 | 54.8 | 55.25 | Medium | |
| 13:45 | S&P Global Services PMI | 51.3 | 50.7 | 51 | 51.15 | Medium | |
| 13:45 | S&P Global Composite PMI | 52.2 | 51.5 | 50.8 | 51.50 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index | 4 | 13 | 9 | 6.50 | Low | |
| 14:00 | Richmond Fed Services Index | -1 | 14 | 11 | 5.00 | Low | |
| 14:00 | Richmond Fed Manufacturing Shipments Index | 3 | 16 | 9 | 6.00 | Low | |
| Thursday, June 25, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index | 0.14 | 0.12 | 0.12 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Durable Goods Orders MoM | 7.9 | -4.3 | -4.30 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Core PCE Price Index MoM | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.30 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Initial Jobless Claims | 226 | 225 | 225.00 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Personal Income MoM | 0 | 0.4 | 0.40 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Personal Spending MoM | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.10 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Durable Goods Orders Ex Transp MoM | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.70 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | PCE Price Index MoM | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Non Defense Goods Orders Ex Air | -1.1 | 0.6 | 0.60 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1810 | 1800 | 1784.50 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Core PCE Price Index YoY | 3.3 | 3.4 | 3.40 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Durable Goods Orders Ex Defense MoM | 8.1 | -3.9 | -3.90 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 223.25 | 226 | 225.25 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | PCE Price Index YoY | 3.8 | 4 | 4.00 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Real Consumer Spending | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.40 | Low | ||
| 15:00 | Kansas Fed Composite Index | 8 | 6 | 10.00 | Low | ||
| 15:00 | Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index | 9 | 7 | 11.50 | Low | ||
| Friday, June 26, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Wholesale Inventories MoM | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.20 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.10 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Goods Trade Balance | -83.01 | -85.4 | -85.40 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Goods Trade Balance Adv | -83 | -85.2 | -85.20 | Medium | ||