United StatesUS Global Economic Policy Uncertainty held to 241.69 in June 2026
US Global Economic Policy Uncertainty held to 241.69 in June 2026, released 1 Jul 2026.
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Forecasts generated by Sigmanomics engine. Not financial advice.
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A backtest will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Method: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Global Economic Policy Uncertainty (United States) was reported at 241.69 (index) in June 2026. The reading was unchanged from the previous release. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 336.65 (index), ranging from 241.69 (index) to 446.04 (index) across 8 releases. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 281.91 (index), down from the prior three at 379.74 (index). Volatility over the past year (σ 56.90 (index)) is lower than the prior year (σ 91.10 (index)). Across releases published in July over the past 3 years, Global Economic Policy Uncertainty has averaged 292.53 (index).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Core PPI MoM (Nov 13) and Producer Price Index MoM (Nov 13).
Global Economic Policy Uncertainty - US
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Economic Calendar - US Events
| Thursday, November 12, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13:30 | US | Initial Jobless Claims | 200 | 191 | 195 | 197.50 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1697 | 1717 | 1710 | 1703.50 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 195.25 | 195.25 | 192.5 | 193.88 | High |
| 15:00 | US | Existing Home Sales MoM | -5.5 | 1 | 0.3 | -2.60 | High |
| 15:00 | US | Existing Home Sales | 3.75 | 3.97 | 3.85 | 3.80 | High |
| 17:00 | US | EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change | 4.657 | -0.865 | -1.1 | 1.78 | Medium |
| 17:00 | US | EIA Distillate Stocks Change | 4.071 | -3.565 | -1 | 1.54 | Low |
| 17:00 | US | EIA Gasoline Stocks Change | 1.799 | -0.222 | -0.1 | 0.85 | Medium |
| 19:00 | US | Budget Balance | -404 | -27 | -298.6 | -351.30 | Medium |
| Friday, November 13, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 13:30 | US | PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade MoM | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Low | |
| 13:30 | US | Producer Price Index YoY | 6.3 | 6.6 | 6.60 | Low | |
| 13:30 | US | Core PPI MoM | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Medium | |
| 13:30 | US | Core PPI YoY | 5 | 5 | 5.00 | Low | |
| 13:30 | US | PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade YoY | 5 | 5 | 5.00 | Low | |
| 13:30 | US | Producer Price Index MoM | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.40 | High | |
| 13:30 | US | Producer Price Index | 159.78 | 160 | 160.00 | Low | |
| 15:30 | US | EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change | 77 | 66 | 66.00 | Low | |
| Monday, November 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 13:30 | US | NY Empire State Manufacturing Index | 25.5 | 10 | 14.80 | High | |
Editorial review: Neha Gupta, AnalystLinkedIn profile
Neha Gupta is a Chartered Financial Analyst with over 18 years of experience in finance and more than 11 years as a financial writer. She’s authored for clients worldwide, including platforms like MarketWatch, TipRanks, InsiderMonkey, and Seeking Alpha. Her work is known for its technical rigor, clear communication, and compliance-awareness—evident in her success enhancing market updates.