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Data from FRED. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS Global Economic Policy Uncertainty held to 241.69 in June 2026
FREDMonthlyReleased July 2026
US Global Economic Policy Uncertainty held to 241.69 in June 2026, released July 2026.
Latest Release
241.690491
Actual
—
Consensus
241.690491
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AUD/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.68 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/CHF | ▲ Direct | +0.64 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.63 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.62 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/CAD | ▲ Direct | +0.54 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Global Economic Policy Uncertainty (United States) was reported at 241.69 (index) in June 2026. The reading was unchanged from the previous release. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 346.33 (index), ranging from 241.69 (index) to 446.04 (index) across 10 releases. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 281.91 (index), down from the prior three at 379.74 (index). Volatility over the past year (σ 55.17 (index)) is lower than the prior year (σ 108.75 (index)). In July readings over the past 3 years, Global Economic Policy Uncertainty has averaged 292.53 (index).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with AUD/USD (Bearish AUD). A secondary relationship exists with USD/CHF, positively correlated (Bullish USD).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Fed Bowman Speech (Sep 28) and Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index (Sep 28).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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Global Economic Policy Uncertainty - US
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Economic Calendar - US Events
| Monday, September 28, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:30 | US | Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index | 11.6 | 1 | 0.00 | Medium | |
| 15:30 | US | 3-Month Bill Auction | 4.015 | 4.009 | 4.01 | Low | |
| Tuesday, September 29, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 13:00 | US | House Price Index | 442.5 | 442.9 | 442.40 | Low | |
| 13:00 | US | S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price YoY | 2.1 | 2.2 | 2.30 | Medium | |
| 13:00 | US | S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price MoM | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.35 | Low | |
| 13:00 | US | House Price Index YoY | 2.3 | 2.2 | 2.15 | Low | |
| 13:00 | US | House Price Index MoM | 0 | 0.1 | 0.10 | Low | |
| 14:00 | US | CB Consumer Confidence | 89.4 | 90 | 90.00 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | US | JOLTs Job Openings | 7.271 | 7.23 | 7.23 | High | |
| 14:00 | US | JOLTs Job Quits | 3.056 | 3 | 3.00 | Low | |
| 14:30 | US | Dallas Fed Services Revenues Index | 6.6 | 2 | 2.00 | Low | |
| 14:30 | US | Dallas Fed Services Index | 4.2 | 1 | 1.00 | Low | |