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US Employment Benefits QoQ fell to 0.7% in Q1 2026, released February 2026, down 0.1% from December's 0.8% reading.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Bullish Stocks | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Bearish Gold | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
Employment Benefits QoQ (United States) was reported at 1.2% in April 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 0.8%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through February 2026.
The trailing three releases averaged 0.73%, down from the prior three at 0.83%.
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
Same-country events in the next 14 days include MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Jun 17) and Retail Sales MoM (Jun 17).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update February 2026.
Employment Benefits QoQ (Quarter over Quarter) is a financial indicator that measures the change in employee benefits from one quarter to the next. This includes benefits such as health insurance, retirement plans, and other non-wage compensation. It provides valuable insight into the overall health of a company's workforce and can be used to assess the company's financial stability and employee satisfaction. A positive QoQ growth in employment benefits indicates a strong and competitive benefits package, while a negative growth may suggest potential financial challenges or employee dissatisfaction. This indicator is commonly used by investors, analysts, and HR professionals to evaluate the financial performance and employee well-being of a company.
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Jan 2026): actual 1.2 %. Prior reading (Oct 2025): 0.7 %. Before that (Jul 2025): 0.8 %.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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| Monday, June 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | NY Empire State Manufacturing Index | 5.7 | 19.6 | 14 | 9.85 | Medium | |
| 13:15 | Industrial Production MoM | 0.1 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.20 | Medium | |
| 13:15 | Capacity Utilization | 76.2 | 76.1 | 76.2 | 76.20 | Low | |
| 13:15 | Industrial Production YoY | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 1.80 | Low | |
| 13:15 | Manufacturing Production MoM | 0 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.10 | Low | |
| 13:15 | Manufacturing Production YoY | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1.55 | Low | |
| 14:00 | NAHB Housing Market Index | 35 | 37 | 36 | 35.50 | Medium | |
| Tuesday, June 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Building Permits MoM | -0.7 | 4.4 | -0.6 | -0.45 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | Building Permits | 1.413 | 1.423 | 1.42 | 1.42 | High | |
| 12:30 | Import Prices YoY | 6.7 | 4.2 | 6 | 6.35 | Low | |
| 12:30 | Housing Starts MoM | -15.4 | -8.5 | -2 | -8.70 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | Housing Starts | 1.177 | 1.392 | 1.43 | 1.30 | High | |
| 12:30 | Export Prices YoY | 11.2 | 8.8 | 10.4 | 10.80 | Low | |
| 12:30 | Import Prices MoM | 1.9 | 2 | 1 | 1.45 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | Export Prices MoM | 1.3 | 3.5 | 1.2 | 1.25 | Medium | |
| 16:00 | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | 2.8 | 3.3 | 3.3 | 3.07 | Medium | |
| 20:30 | API Crude Oil Stock Change | -8.33 | -9.119 | -4.5 | -2.74 | Medium | |
| Wednesday, June 17, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Retail Sales MoM | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.50 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Retail Sales YoY | 4.9 | 4 | 4.00 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Medium | ||
| 14:00 | Business Inventories MoM | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Medium | ||
| 14:00 | Pending Home Sales YoY | 3.2 | 3 | 3.50 | Medium | ||
| 14:00 | Pending Home Sales MoM | 1.4 | 0.8 | 1.95 | Medium | ||
| 14:00 | Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.60 | Low | ||
| 14:30 | EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change | -7.228 | -4.5 | -1.62 | Medium | ||
| 14:30 | EIA Gasoline Stocks Change | 0.186 | -1.4 | -3.32 | Medium | ||
| 14:30 | EIA Distillate Stocks Change | -0.2 | -0.2 | -0.71 | Low | ||