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US CB Employment Trends Index climbed to 105.37 in February 2026, released March 2026, up 0.19 from January's 105.18 reading.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AUD/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.74 | FOREX | Bearish AUD | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.73 | FOREX | Bearish GBP | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.71 | COMMODITIES | Bearish XAU | → View |
| MSFT | ▼ Inverse | −0.65 | STOCKS | Bearish MSFT | → View |
| AAPL | ▲ Direct | +0.59 | STOCKS | Bullish AAPL | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
CB Employment Trends Index (United States) was reported at 105.77 in May 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 105.52. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through March 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 106.29, ranging from 104.27 to 107.83 across 9 releases.
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 104.90, down from the prior three at 106.35.
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with AUD/USD (Bearish AUD). A secondary relationship exists with GBP/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish GBP).
The next release is scheduled for June 8, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Chicago Fed National Activity Index (May 25) and Chicago Fed National Activity Index (May 26).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update March 2026.
The CB Employment Trends Index is a leading economic indicator that provides insight into the current and future state of the job market. It combines multiple labor market indicators to offer a comprehensive view of employment trends, helping businesses and policymakers make informed decisions. With its proven track record of accurately predicting turning points in the labor market, the CB Employment Trends Index is a valuable tool for assessing the health of the economy and anticipating potential changes in employment levels.
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 105.8. Prior reading (Mar 2026): 105.7. Before that (Feb 2026): 105.4.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with AUD/USD (Bearish AUD, r=-0.74) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
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| Friday, May 22, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:00 | Michigan Inflation Expectations | 4.8 | 4.7 | 4.5 | 4.65 | Low | |
| 14:00 | Leading Index MoM | 0.1 | -0.6 | -0.1 | 0.00 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | Michigan Current Conditions | 45.8 | 52.5 | 47.9 | 46.85 | Low | |
| 14:00 | Michigan Consumer Sentiment | 44.8 | 49.8 | 48.2 | 46.50 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | Michigan Consumer Expectations | 44.1 | 48.1 | 48.4 | 46.25 | Low | |
| 14:00 | Michigan 1 Year Inflation Expectations | 4.8 | 4.7 | 4.5 | 4.65 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations | 3.9 | 3.5 | 3.4 | 3.65 | Low | |
| 17:00 | Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count | 425 | 415 | 416 | 420.50 | Low | |
| Tuesday, May 26, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index | -0.2 | -0.3 | -0.30 | Medium | ||
| 13:00 | S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price MoM | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Low | ||
| 13:00 | House Price Index MoM | 0 | 0.1 | -0.05 | Low | ||
| 13:00 | House Price Index YoY | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.80 | Low | ||
| 13:00 | House Price Index | 441.4 | 441.8 | 440.20 | Low | ||
| 13:00 | S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price YoY | 0.9 | 1 | 1.00 | Medium | ||
| 14:00 | CB Consumer Confidence | 92.8 | 91.9 | 93.80 | High | ||
| 14:30 | Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index | -2.3 | -1 | 0.85 | Medium | ||
| Wednesday, May 27, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 14:00 | Richmond Fed Services Index | 9 | 8 | 8.00 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | Richmond Fed Manufacturing Shipments Index | -2 | -1 | -4.50 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index | 3 | 4 | 3.00 | Low | ||
| 14:30 | Dallas Fed Services Index | -9.9 | -8 | -10.40 | Low | ||
| 14:30 | Dallas Fed Services Revenues Index | 4.3 | 3.5 | 2.55 | Low | ||