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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS Food Inflation YoY fell to 26.08% in January 2025
FMPMonthlyReleased February 2025
US Food Inflation YoY fell to 26.08% in January 2025, released February 2025, down 13.76% from December's 39.84% reading. The reading missed the 38.5% consensus by 12.42%.
Latest Release
26.080000
Actual
38.500000
Consensus
39.840000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Bullish Stocks | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Bearish Gold | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Food Inflation YoY (United States) was reported at 26.08% in January 2025. This missed the market consensus of 38.5% by 12.42%. The reading fell from the previous value of 39.84%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Jun 17) and Retail Sales MoM (Jun 17).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update February 2025.
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Food Inflation YoY - US
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About Food Inflation YoY — United States
DEFINITION
Food Inflation YoY (Year-over-Year) is a financial indicator that measures the change in the average price of food items over a 12-month period. It provides valuable insights into the overall trend of food prices and can help businesses and consumers anticipate potential changes in their food expenses. This indicator is commonly used by economists and policymakers to monitor the impact of food prices on inflation and to make informed decisions regarding monetary and fiscal policies.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT'S NEXT
This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.