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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS New Car Registrations MoM fell to -33.5% in January 2025
FMPMonthlyReleased February 2025
US New Car Registrations MoM fell to -33.5% in January 2025, released February 2025, down 35.1% from December's 1.6% reading. The reading missed the -1.5% consensus by 32.0%.
Latest Release
-33.500000
Actual
-1.500000
Consensus
1.600000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Bullish Stocks | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Bearish Gold | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
New Car Registrations MoM (United States) was reported at -33.5% in January 2025. This missed the market consensus of -1.5% by 32%. The reading fell from the previous value of 1.6%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Jun 17) and Retail Sales MoM (Jun 17).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update February 2025.
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New Car Registrations MoM - US
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About New Car Registrations MoM — United States
DEFINITION
New Car Registrations MoM (Month-over-Month) is a financial indicator that measures the change in the number of newly registered cars in a given month compared to the previous month. This indicator is used to track the current demand for new cars in a specific market and can provide insights into consumer spending and economic trends. It is often used by analysts and investors to assess the health of the automotive industry and make informed decisions regarding investments in related companies.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT'S NEXT
This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.