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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS MBA Mortgage Applications climbed to 10.8% in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
US MBA Mortgage Applications climbed to 10.8% in May 2026, released June 2026, up 13.3% from April's -2.5% reading.
Latest Release
10.800000
Actual
—
Consensus
-2.500000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NZD/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.27 | FOREX | Bullish NZD | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.27 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
| AUD/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.25 | FOREX | Bullish AUD | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
MBA Mortgage Applications (United States) was reported at 10.8% in June 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of -2.5%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.39%, ranging from -12.7% to 29.7% across 44 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged -0.07%, up from the prior three at -3.67%. Volatility over the past year (σ 8.63%) is comparable than the prior year (σ 9.07%). In June readings over the past 3 years, MBA Mortgage Applications has averaged 2.58%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for June 17, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Building Permits MoM (Jun 16) and Building Permits (Jun 16).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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MBA Mortgage Applications - US
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About MBA Mortgage Applications — United States
DEFINITION
MBA Mortgage Applications is a widely recognized financial indicator that measures the number of mortgage applications submitted to lenders by potential homebuyers. This indicator is used to gauge the strength of the housing market and the overall demand for home loans. It is published weekly by the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) and is considered a key indicator of the health of the real estate industry. Investors, economists, and policymakers closely monitor MBA Mortgage Applications to gain insights into the current and future state of the housing market.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Housing data leads broader economic cycles by several months and is highly rate-sensitive, with knock-on effects to construction, materials, and consumer credit. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 10.8 %. Prior reading (Jun 2026): -2.5 %. Before that (May 2026): -8.5 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.