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Data from U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS Nonfarm Productivity QoQ fell to 0.8% in Q1 2026
U.S. Bureau of Labor StatisticsMonthlyReleased May 2026
US Nonfarm Productivity QoQ fell to 0.8% in Q1 2026, released May 2026, down 0.8% from December's 1.6% reading. The reading missed the 1.4% consensus by 0.6%. Nonfarm Productivity QoQ has now declined for 4 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Nonfarm Productivity QoQ averaged 2.3%, vs 4.9% in the prior 3-month window. Nonfarm Productivity QoQ is now the lowest in 9 months.
Latest Release
0.8
Actual
1.4
Consensus
1.6
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.37 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Mar 2026
Predicted: 2.12
Actual: 1.8
Error: +0.32
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GOOGL | ▲ Direct | +0.55 | STOCKS | Bullish GOOGL | → View |
| AAPL | ▲ Direct | +0.51 | STOCKS | Bullish AAPL | → View |
| USD/CAD | ▲ Direct | +0.46 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.41 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | CRYPTO | Bullish BTC | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
The May 2026 reading fell from the previous value of 1.6. Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmanomics model has produced a median absolute forecast error of ±0.37. Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with GOOGL (Bullish GOOGL) and positively correlated with AAPL (Bullish AAPL).
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Nonfarm Productivity QoQ - US
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