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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS Redbook YoY climbed to 9.1 in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
US Redbook YoY climbed to 9.1 in May 2026, released June 2026, up 0.1 from April's 9.0 reading.
Latest Release
9.100000
Actual
—
Consensus
9.000000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Bullish Stocks | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Bearish Gold | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Redbook YoY (United States) was reported at 9.10 in June 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 9.00. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 6.47, ranging from 4.50 to 9.60 across 45 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 9.03, up from the prior three at 8.20. Volatility over the past year (σ 1.14) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.86). In June readings over the past 3 years, Redbook YoY has averaged 5.11.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for June 16, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Jun 15) and Industrial Production MoM (Jun 15).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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Redbook YoY - US
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About Redbook YoY — United States
DEFINITION
Redbook YoY is a financial indicator that measures the year-over-year change in retail sales of a sample of large general merchandise retailers in the United States. It provides valuable insights into consumer spending trends and can be used to gauge the overall health of the retail sector. This indicator is widely followed by economists, investors, and policymakers as a key measure of consumer confidence and economic growth.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 9.1 %. Prior reading (Jun 2026): 9 %. Before that (May 2026): 9 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.