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US Passenger Vehicles Sales YoY fell to 3.5% in January 2025, released February 2025, down 7.9% from December's 11.4% reading.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Bullish Stocks | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Bearish Gold | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
Passenger Vehicles Sales YoY (United States) was reported at 3.5% in January 2025. The reading fell from the previous value of 11.4%.
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Current Account (Jun 24) and New Home Sales (Jun 24).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update February 2025.
Passenger Vehicles Sales YoY (Year-over-Year) is a financial indicator that measures the percentage change in the number of passenger vehicles sold by a company or industry compared to the same period in the previous year. This indicator is used to assess the growth or decline in demand for passenger vehicles and can provide valuable insights into the overall health of the automotive market. It is commonly used by investors, analysts, and industry experts to make informed decisions about investments and market trends. A positive YoY growth in passenger vehicle sales indicates a strong market demand, while a negative YoY growth may suggest a slowdown in the industry.
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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| Tuesday, June 23, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13:45 | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 55.7 | 55.1 | 54.8 | 55.25 | Medium | |
| 13:45 | S&P Global Services PMI | 51.3 | 50.7 | 51 | 51.15 | Medium | |
| 13:45 | S&P Global Composite PMI | 52.2 | 51.5 | 50.8 | 51.50 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index | 4 | 13 | 9 | 6.50 | Low | |
| 14:00 | Richmond Fed Services Index | -1 | 14 | 11 | 5.00 | Low | |
| 14:00 | Richmond Fed Manufacturing Shipments Index | 3 | 16 | 9 | 6.00 | Low | |
| Wednesday, June 24, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 14:30 | EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change | -8.262 | -5.1 | -1.89 | Medium | ||
| Thursday, June 25, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index | 0.14 | 0.12 | 0.12 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Durable Goods Orders MoM | 7.9 | -4.3 | -4.30 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Core PCE Price Index MoM | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.30 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Initial Jobless Claims | 226 | 225 | 225.00 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Personal Income MoM | 0 | 0.4 | 0.40 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Personal Spending MoM | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.10 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Durable Goods Orders Ex Transp MoM | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.70 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | PCE Price Index MoM | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Non Defense Goods Orders Ex Air | -1.1 | 0.6 | 0.60 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1810 | 1800 | 1784.50 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Core PCE Price Index YoY | 3.3 | 3.4 | 3.40 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Durable Goods Orders Ex Defense MoM | 8.1 | -3.9 | -3.90 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 223.25 | 226 | 225.25 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | PCE Price Index YoY | 3.8 | 4 | 4.00 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Real Consumer Spending | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.40 | Low | ||
| 15:00 | Kansas Fed Composite Index | 8 | 6 | 10.00 | Low | ||
| 15:00 | Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index | 9 | 7 | 11.50 | Low | ||
| Friday, June 26, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Wholesale Inventories MoM | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.20 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.10 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Goods Trade Balance | -83.01 | -85.4 | -85.40 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Goods Trade Balance Adv | -83 | -85.2 | -85.20 | Medium | ||