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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS CFTC Aluminium Speculative net positions fell to 0.4K in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
US CFTC Aluminium Speculative net positions fell to 0.4K in May 2026, released June 2026, down 0.4K from April's 0.8K reading.
Latest Release
0.400000
Actual
—
Consensus
0.800000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Bullish Stocks | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Bearish Gold | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
CFTC Aluminium Speculative net positions (United States) was reported at 0 thousand in June 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 1 thousand. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -1 thousand, ranging from -4 thousand to 1 thousand across 42 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 1 thousand, up from the prior three at 0 thousand. Volatility over the past year (σ 2 thousand) is lower than the prior year (σ 167 thousand). In June readings over the past 3 years, CFTC Aluminium Speculative net positions has averaged 1 thousand.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for June 19, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Jun 17) and Retail Sales MoM (Jun 17).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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CFTC Aluminium Speculative net positions - US
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About CFTC Aluminium Speculative net positions — United States
DEFINITION
CFTC Aluminium Speculative net positions is a financial indicator that measures the difference between the number of long and short positions held by speculators in the aluminium market. It provides valuable insights into the sentiment and expectations of market participants, and can be used to anticipate potential price movements in the aluminium market. This indicator is closely monitored by investors and analysts as it can help inform trading decisions and assess market trends.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 0.4 K. Prior reading (Jun 2026): 0.8 K. Before that (May 2026): 0.3 K.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.