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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS Business Investment YoY fell to -0.7% in January 2025
FMPMonthlyReleased February 2025
US Business Investment YoY fell to -0.7% in January 2025, released February 2025, down 5.1% from December's 4.4% reading. The reading missed the 3.0% consensus by 3.7%.
Latest Release
-0.700000
Actual
3.000000
Consensus
4.400000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Business Investment YoY (United States) was reported at -0.7% in January 2025. This missed the market consensus of 3% by 3.7%. The reading fell from the previous value of 4.4%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include API Crude Oil Stock Change (Jul 21) and MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Jul 22).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update February 2025.
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Business Investment YoY - US
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About Business Investment YoY — United States
DEFINITION
Business Investment YoY, or Year-over-Year, is a financial indicator that measures the change in the amount of money businesses are investing in their operations compared to the previous year. This metric provides insight into the overall health and confidence of the business sector, as well as potential future economic growth. A positive YoY growth in business investment indicates a strong and growing economy, while a negative growth may suggest a slowdown or contraction. This indicator is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and analysts as it can impact stock markets, interest rates, and overall economic performance.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT'S NEXT
This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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