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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS Quarterly Grain Stocks - Soy fell to 0.32B in Q2 2026
FMPQuarterlyReleased September 2026
US Quarterly Grain Stocks - Soy fell to 0.32B in Q2 2026, released September 2026, down 0.75B from May's 1.06B reading. The reading matched the 0.33B consensus.
Latest Release
0.315000
Actual
0.330000
Consensus
1.060000
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.01 billion
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Sep 2026
Predicted: 0.33
Actual: 0.32
Error: +0.02
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Quarterly Grain Stocks - Soy (United States) was reported at 0.32 billion in June 2026. This missed the market consensus of 0.33 billion by 0.02 billion. The reading fell from the previous value of 1.06 billion.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 1.16 billion, down from the prior three at 1.54 billion. In September readings over the past 3 years, Quarterly Grain Stocks - Soy has averaged 0.33 billion.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.01 billion.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Michigan Consumer Sentiment (Oct 9) and CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions (Oct 9).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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Quarterly Grain Stocks - Soy - US
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About Quarterly Grain Stocks - Soy — United States
DEFINITION
beans Quarterly Grain Stocks - Soybeans is a financial indicator that measures the amount of soybeans held in storage by commercial grain facilities at the end of each quarter. This data provides insight into the supply and demand of soybeans, which can impact prices and market trends. It is a key indicator for investors, traders, and agricultural businesses looking to make informed decisions about buying and selling soybeans.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released quarterly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 0.315 B, consensus 0.33 B. Prior reading (Jun 2026): 1.06 B. Before that (Mar 2026): 2.1 B.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
Σ
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Economic Calendar - US Events
| Thursday, October 8, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | US | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1716 | 1699 | 1710 | 1713.00 | High |
| 12:30 | US | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 198 | 200.5 | 198 | 198.00 | High |
| 12:30 | US | Initial Jobless Claims | 197 | 199 | 200 | 198.50 | High |
| 14:00 | US | Wholesale Inventories MoM | 0.5 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.60 | Low |
| 14:30 | US | EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change | 85 | 64 | 79 | 82.00 | Low |
| 15:15 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | 3.6 | 3.7 | 3.7 | 3.65 | Medium |
| Monday, October 12, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 18:00 | US | Budget Balance | -167 | 210 | 217.90 | Medium | |
| Tuesday, October 13, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | US | NFIB Business Optimism Index | 98.7 | 96 | 96.80 | Low | |
| 14:00 | US | Existing Home Sales MoM | -2 | -0.3 | -0.30 | High | |
| 14:00 | US | Existing Home Sales | 3.98 | 3.97 | 3.97 | High | |
| 15:30 | US | 3-Month Bill Auction | 4.05 | 4.009 | 4.01 | Low | |
| 18:00 | US | Budget Balance | -167 | 210 | 217.90 | Medium | |