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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS Private Consumption YoY climbed to 4.1% in January 2025
FMPMonthlyReleased February 2025
US Private Consumption YoY climbed to 4.1% in January 2025, released February 2025, up 0.1% from December's 4.0% reading. The print exceeded the 2.9% consensus by 1.2%.
Latest Release
4.100000
Actual
2.900000
Consensus
4.000000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Bullish Stocks | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Bearish Gold | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Private Consumption YoY (United States) was reported at 4.1% in January 2025. This beat the market consensus of 2.9% by 1.2%. The reading rose from the previous value of 4%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Jun 17) and Retail Sales MoM (Jun 17).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update February 2025.
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Private Consumption YoY - US
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About Private Consumption YoY — United States
DEFINITION
Private Consumption YoY (Year-over-Year) is a financial indicator that measures the change in the annual growth rate of consumer spending in a country. It reflects the overall health of the economy by showing the rate at which individuals and households are spending on goods and services. A positive YoY growth indicates a strong economy, while a negative growth may signal a slowdown. Private Consumption YoY is an important tool for investors and policymakers to assess consumer confidence and make informed decisions.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT'S NEXT
This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.