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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS 5-Year TIPS Auction climbed to 1.43% in November 2025
FMPMonthlyReleased December 2025
US 5-Year TIPS Auction climbed to 1.43% in November 2025, released December 2025, up 0.25% from October's 1.18% reading.
Latest Release
1.433000
Actual
—
Consensus
1.182000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Bullish Stocks | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Bearish Gold | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
5-Year TIPS Auction (United States) was reported at 1.37% in April 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 1.43%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through December 2025.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 1.42%, down from the prior three at 1.83%. In December readings over the past 3 years, 5-Year TIPS Auction has averaged 1.75%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for June 18, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Jun 15) and Industrial Production MoM (Jun 15).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update December 2025.
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5-Year TIPS Auction - US
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About 5-Year TIPS Auction — United States
DEFINITION
The 5-Year TIPS Auction is a financial indicator that measures the demand for Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) with a maturity of 5 years. This auction is conducted by the U.S. Department of the Treasury and provides valuable insights into investor sentiment towards inflation and the overall health of the economy. The results of this auction can impact interest rates and serve as a key indicator for market trends and future economic conditions.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 1.367 %. Prior reading (Dec 2025): 1.433 %. Before that (Oct 2025): 1.182 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.