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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS Core PCE Price Index held to 129.28 in February 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased March 2026
US Core PCE Price Index held to 129.28 in February 2026, released March 2026.
Latest Release
129.279000
Actual
—
Consensus
129.279000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NZD/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.65 | FOREX | Bullish NZD | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.63 | FOREX | Bullish GBP | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.57 | COMMODITIES | Bullish XAU | → View |
| AUD/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.56 | FOREX | Bullish AUD | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.47 | FOREX | Bearish USD | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
The March 2026 reading was unchanged from the previous value of 129.28. Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with NZD/USD (Bullish NZD) and positively correlated with GBP/USD (Bullish GBP).
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Core PCE Price Index - US
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Economic Calendar - US Events
| Friday, May 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | US | NY Empire State Manufacturing Index | 19.6 | 11 | 7.5 | 11.55 | Medium |
| 13:15 | US | Industrial Production MoM | 0.7 | -0.3 | 0.3 | 0.45 | Medium |
| 13:15 | US | Capacity Utilization | 76.1 | 75.7 | 75.8 | 75.82 | Low |
| 13:15 | US | Manufacturing Production YoY | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.75 | Low |
| 13:15 | US | Manufacturing Production MoM | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.28 | Low |
| 13:15 | US | Industrial Production YoY | 1.4 | 0.76 | 0.4 | 0.75 | Low |
| Monday, May 18, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 14:00 | US | NAHB Housing Market Index | 34 | 34 | 31.50 | Medium | |
| Tuesday, May 19, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 14:00 | US | Pending Home Sales MoM | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.60 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | US | Pending Home Sales YoY | -1.1 | -0.5 | -0.50 | Medium | |