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US Core PCE Price Index held to 129.28 in February 2026, released March 2026.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NZD/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.65 | FOREX | Bullish NZD | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.63 | FOREX | Bullish GBP | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.57 | COMMODITIES | Bullish XAU | → View |
| AUD/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.56 | FOREX | Bullish AUD | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.47 | FOREX | Bearish USD | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
The March 2026 reading was unchanged from the previous value of 129.28. Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with NZD/USD (Bullish NZD) and positively correlated with GBP/USD (Bullish GBP).
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Friday, May 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | NY Empire State Manufacturing Index | 19.6 | 11 | 7.5 | 11.55 | Medium | |
| 13:15 | Industrial Production MoM | 0.7 | -0.3 | 0.3 | 0.45 | Medium | |
| 13:15 | Capacity Utilization | 76.1 | 75.7 | 75.8 | 75.82 | Low | |
| 13:15 | Manufacturing Production YoY | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.75 | Low | |
| 13:15 | Manufacturing Production MoM | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.28 | Low | |
| 13:15 | Industrial Production YoY | 1.4 | 0.76 | 0.4 | 0.75 | Low | |
| Monday, May 18, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 14:00 | NAHB Housing Market Index | 34 | 34 | 31.50 | Medium | ||
| Tuesday, May 19, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 14:00 | Pending Home Sales MoM | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.60 | Medium | ||
| 14:00 | Pending Home Sales YoY | -1.1 | -0.5 | -0.50 | Medium | ||